This quarter's results exceeded expectations, primarily driven by strong residential land sales, with MPC EBT growing 33% year-over-year.
Key data: MPC EBT $84 million, +33% YoY; Bridgeland 62 acres at an average price of $6 million per acre, compared to 37 acres at $605,000 per acre last year; newly introduced adjusted maintenance free cash flow metric.
Business progress: Land sales prices at Bridgeland and Summerlin increased significantly, with new home sales growing 12% and 6%, respectively. The Vantage insurance acquisition is expected to close in Q2, having received a regulatory hearing. Management adopted new KPIs (remaining land value, future profit from apartments) and announced an intrinsic value of approximately $104 per share, with a 2030 target of $211 per share, primarily driven by the insurance platform.
Guidance and outlook: Annual guidance was discontinued, shifting to long-term multi-platform targets. Vantage acquisition expected to close in Q2, with management emphasizing that real estate cash flows will be prioritized for investment in the insurance business.
Risk/highlight signals: Positive — management is confident in pricing power, and new director Mark Grandison (former Arch CEO) joins to enhance insurance expertise; Negative — not directly mentioned, but insurance business execution risks need attention.