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Patient Capital ManagementArticle26 Oct 2026Source: patientcapitalmanagement.com

Opportunity Equity Strategy Update for 10/16/2026 – 10/23/2026

Patient Capital Management is a Baltimore asset manager founded in 2020 by Samantha McLemore, CFA — Bill Miller's long-time co-manager (working together since 2002, running the flagship Opportunity Equity strategy since 2014). Continuing the Miller-school contrarian tradition, it practices "time arbitrage": exploiting behavioral mispricing to concentrate in controversial growth names (tech, healthcare, Bitcoin-related) at deep discounts to intrinsic value. Its site preserves Bill Miller's complete 1995-2022 market letters, alongside ongoing quarterly letters and webinars.

Samantha McLemore · 2020 · 美国巴尔的摩Contrarian growth-value / time arbitrage

In plain words

Patient Capital's Opportunity Equity strategy fell 0.79% in the week ended October 23, 2026, underperforming the S&P 500. The fund noted Seadrill rose on higher oil prices, and Biogen hit a 52-week high after an analyst raised its price target. Meta and GM fell despite beating earnings estimates. The report offered no market outlook and disclosed no trades.

AI SummaryAI-generated · may contain errors · verify against the original

At a Glance Patient Capital's Opportunity Equity strategy's representative account fell 0.79% in the week ended October 23, 2026, underperforming the S&P 500 (-0.46%), but remains up 11.01% year-to-date. Last week, Seadrill Limited (SDRL) rose 10.8% alongside a 6.2% increase in Brent crude oil price

~6 min full read · 6 sections
Deep Analysis

Monthly Scorecard

Last week (10/16-10/23) Representative Account -0.79% vs S&P 500 -0.46%, YTD cumulative +11.01% vs Benchmark +12.40%.

Period Fund Benchmark
Last Week -0.79% -0.46%
Month-to-Date -3.46% -0.31%
Year-to-Date 11.01% 12.40%
1 Year 15.21% 14.46%
3 Year 31.82% 23.42%
5 Year 7.42% 12.49%
10 Year 13.19% 15.43%
Since Inception (Annualized, since 6/26/2000) 8.63% 8.47%

Who Contributed, Who Detracted

Top 5 contributors last week: Royalty Pharma (+4.8%), Seadrill (+10.8%), UnitedHealth (+4.1%), Adobe (+7.6%), Biogen (+7.8%); Bottom 5 detractors: Meta Stock (-9.4%), Alphabet (-6.0%), Meta Call Options (-22.1%), Citi (-2.9%), GM (-9.6%).

Position Contribution/Detraction One-Line Attribution
Seadrill Limited (SDRL) +10.8% Rose alongside a 6.2% increase in Brent crude oil
Biogen Inc. (BIIB) +7.8% Wells Fargo raised its price target to $310 (+24%), significantly increasing felzartamab peak sales estimates to $4 billion
Adobe Inc. (ADBE) +7.6% Broke above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages; announced a partnership with the BWT Alpine F1 team
Royalty Pharma plc (RPRX) +4.8% Continued to rise on limited news
UnitedHealth Group (UNH) +4.1% Extended the prior week's post-earnings beat rally; RBC raised its price target to $498 (+19%)
Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) -9.4% Despite revenue of $64.6 billion beating estimates and adjusted EPS of $10.26 beating estimates, the stock fell below its 50-day moving average
General Motors Co (GM) -9.6% Despite revenue of $50 billion beating estimates and EPS of $3.70 beating estimates along with raised guidance, the stock fell below its 100-day and 200-day moving averages
Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) -6.0% KeyBanc lowered its price target to $410 (+28%), arguing that strong cloud performance has been priced in and search faces base effect pressure
Citigroup Inc. (C) -2.9% Declined on limited news
Meta Platforms Inc. 01/28 C540 -22.1% The decline in Meta's stock caused the call option to decline.

Individual Stock Commentary

  • Seadrill Limited (SDRL): Rose 10.8% alongside a 6.2% weekly increase in Brent crude oil prices, making it the largest contributor last week.
  • Biogen Inc. (BIIB): Hit a new 52-week high. Wells Fargo raised its price target from $250 to $310 (24% upside), primarily due to a significant increase in peak sales estimates for felzartamab (a Phase III drug for kidney transplant rejection) from $1.7 billion to $4 billion, reflecting higher pricing assumptions, longer maintenance dosing, and a larger market expectation.
  • Meta Platforms, Inc. (META): Strong earnings but the stock declined. Revenue was $64.6 billion (vs. estimate of $63.3 billion), adjusted EPS was $10.26 (vs. estimate of $7.77). The company guided Q4 revenue to $74.5 billion (+25% YoY, beating the estimate of $73.6 billion) and narrowed its full-year capital expenditure guidance to $135-145 billion. It did not provide FY27 capital expenditure guidance but stated it would invest aggressively in AI and expects continued strong revenue growth. JPMorgan raised its price target to $940 (+46%), emphasizing Meta Muse AI agent adoption and enterprise opportunities.
  • Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL): KeyBanc maintained its Overweight rating but lowered its price target from $435 to $410 (+28%), arguing that strong cloud performance has been priced in by the market, while search faces YoY base effect pressure, macroeconomic uncertainty, and FX headwinds.
  • General Motors Co (GM): Earnings beat estimates but the stock declined. Revenue was $50 billion (vs. estimate of $48.5 billion), EPS was $3.70 (vs. estimate of $3.50), and it raised the midpoint of its FY26 net income guidance by $100 million. The company repurchased $2.5 billion (approximately 4% of market cap), repurchased another $1 billion in October, bringing year-to-date repurchases to $6.3 billion (approximately 10% of market cap), using up the prior authorization. The board approved a new $20 billion repurchase plan (approximately 31% of market cap). Citi maintained its $132 price target (+73%), arguing that GM can still generate strong free cash flow despite headwinds from commodity inflation, tariffs, and BEV spending.

How the Manager Views the Market

The report did not make a judgment on the overall market direction.

Position Moves: Where to Add, Where to Reduce

The report did not disclose any new positions, additions, reductions, or liquidations.

Fund Matters

  • The representative account's year-to-date return is 11.01%, trailing the S&P 500 index by 139 basis points.
  • The report contains standard disclaimers: past performance does not guarantee future results, views are subject to change without notice, and this does not constitute a buy or sell recommendation.