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Colossus (Invest Like the Best / Business Breakdowns)Podcast15 Oct 2024Source: joincolossus.comHost: Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Matt Perelman & Alex Sloane - The Art of Franchise Investing - [Invest Like the Best, EP.393]

In plain words

This is about how two investors make money by investing in franchise businesses like Burger King. They believe quality matters more than price—better to pay up for a great franchise than to buy a cheap, struggling one. They like operators with strong brands and efficient operations, such as Burger King and Planet Fitness (a gym chain). They warn against using too much debt (borrowed money). They started with 23 Burger Kings and now oversee over 1,000 locations.

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Matt Perelman and Alex Sloane founded Garnett Station Partners (GSP), which focuses on investing in the trillion-dollar franchise and consumer services industry. Starting with the acquisition of 23 Burger King restaurants as MBA students in 2014, the firm has since invested in 26 multi-unit business

~8 min full read · 5 sections
Deep Analysis

Here is the English translation of your investment research notes, following all specified rules.

At a Glance

Matt Perelman and Alex Sloane are the co-founders of Garnett Station Partners (GSP), a firm focused on multi-unit investments in the franchise and consumer services sectors. The core narrative of this episode is how GSP built a complete franchise investment and value creation system, starting with the acquisition of 23 Burger King units in 2014. The most significant judgment in the entire episode is: GSP believes that "quality is more important than price" in franchise investing. They would rather miss out on a "perfect" but expensively valued target like Taco Bell than fall into a "value trap"—a conviction born from an early failed investment experience.

The "Three Pillars" of Franchise Investing: Operations, Culture, and Exit

Perelman and Sloane argue that the core of franchise investing lies in creating value through operational efficiency improvements, cultural integration, and a scalable exit strategy, rather than relying solely on financial leverage.

  • Operational Improvement: From "Rule of Thumb" to "Data-Driven" : GSP's core value-add lies in using technology and data to optimize the middle of the P&L. They found that profit margins vary dramatically between different stores under the same brand, and technology (e.g., scheduling based on transaction counts rather than sales dollars, factoring in weather and local events) can significantly narrow this gap. Sloane notes, "We care less about the dollar amount of sales, we care more about the number of transactions, because transactions drive labor." This level of granular operational management can improve store-level margins by 250 basis points.
  • Cultural Integration: Respect and "Don't Push the Red Button" : GSP emphasizes that the franchise business is a "people business." Respecting the acquired company's existing culture during integration is paramount. Perelman warns, "If you piss off the wrong people, fire the wrong people, push what we call the 'red button,' you could blow yourself up." They ensure cultural alignment and incentive alignment by maintaining close relationships with acquired founders and designing innovative incentive structures, such as offering 1:1 option grants for additional investments made by team members.
  • Exit Strategy: "Write the Sale Memorandum" from Day One : GSP's investment philosophy is "build and sell." At the first board meeting after investing in a company, they draft a future "Sale Memorandum" (SIM) that guides all subsequent decisions. Sloane explains, "We want to be number one on the 'must-buy list' of private equity firms." They typically scale a company from 15-50 units to 50-200 units, grow EBITDA to $15-40 million, and then sell it to a larger private equity fund.

Risk Control: Conservative Leverage and the "Tuition" Lesson

GSP's primary principle is "don't lose money." Its conservative capital structure and respect for economic cycles were key to navigating crises like COVID-19.

  • Conservative Leverage Strategy : Unlike many peers, GSP typically uses 100% equity for initial acquisitions, only introducing debt financing after the business has scaled and risk has decreased. Perelman explains, "In Excel, using more leverage would give us much higher returns, but we probably wouldn't have the less than 1% loss rate we have today." This strategy allowed them to survive the COVID-19 period without losing a single company or violating any debt covenants, even as revenues went to zero.
  • The Value of "Tuition" : GSP's second investment—a roll-up of auto service franchisees—ended in failure, losing approximately 40% of the investment. This failure taught them several critical lessons: avoid excessive upfront leverage, avoid rolling up businesses without a technology backbone, and avoid hiring inexperienced young people to manage operations. This experience forged their current investment discipline and led them to bring in Howard Norwitz, a partner focused on risk control.

Position Moves

Target Guest Sentiment Key Data
Burger King Bullish (Success Story) Started with 23 stores, now a public company with 1,100 units; initial remodel project ROI exceeded 30% (unlevered).
Taco Bell Neutral (Consistently Missed) 12 consecutive years of positive same-store sales; margins higher than competitors; new store cash-on-cash returns are very attractive.
KFC Not Stated (Early Rejection) Rejected as a franchisee for being "too young, with no money and no experience."
Planet Fitness Bullish GSP has investments in this space; believes its massive advertising budget creates a brand moat.
Kona Ice Bullish Largest food truck business in the US; CEO developed software within two weeks during the pandemic to pivot the business from events to residential driveways.
Pizza Hut / Wendy's Franchisee Bullish (Debt Investment) Acquired its first-lien debt for $65 million during the pandemic, which became one of GSP's best debt investments.
Authentic Restaurant Brands Bullish Owns regional brands like Primanti Brothers; GSP would not take these brands into new markets.
Wow Car Wash Bullish Voted best car wash in Las Vegas for five consecutive years.
Auto Services (Failed Case) Cautionary (Failed Case) Invested $3 million in equity, ultimately recovered only 40%; failure attributed to excessive leverage, lack of technology, and inexperience.

Judgments Worth Remembering

1. "You don't get points for degree of difficulty." (Matt Perelman) — This is GSP's core investment philosophy. They only invest in simple, understandable, high-quality businesses, rather than trying to work miracles in complex or low-quality ones. This explains why they prefer to miss out on Taco Bell rather than fall into a value trap.

2. "Rules one through nine are 'don't lose money,' and rule ten is 'generate high returns.'" (Matt Perelman) — Safety principle takes precedence over return maximization. This is reflected in their conservative leverage strategy, emphasis on downside protection, and the "don't push the red button" approach to cultural integration.

3. "At the first board meeting after we invest in a company, we write the 'Sale Memorandum.'" (Alex Sloane) — Preparing for the exit from day one ensures all decisions serve the ultimate goal of selling at a high price. This is the key differentiator between GSP and "hold forever" type investors.

4. "Liquidity is an illusion—it's always there when you don't need it, and it's never there when you do." (Matt Perelman) — This quote hangs in GSP's office, a constant reminder to maintain ample liquidity. This philosophy allowed them not only to survive the COVID-19 crisis but also to go on the offensive.

5. "The incentives of franchisees and franchisors aren't always perfectly aligned... but over time and through cycles, it's a true partnership." (Alex Sloane) — Understanding and leveraging this dynamic relationship is key to success. GSP meets franchisors' growth needs by actively investing in remodels and new store construction, while simultaneously generating high returns for themselves.

6. "The single best predictor of success in a multi-unit business is the tenure of the general manager." (Alex Sloane) — Employee turnover is one of the largest hidden costs in the franchise business. Reducing turnover, especially among store managers, is the "highest ROI investment" for improving customer experience, sales, and margins.

7. "We won't invest in a concept where the 'quartile analysis' is inconsistent." (Matt Perelman) — When evaluating a new concept, GSP analyzes the performance distribution of all its stores. If only the top 25% of stores are profitable while the rest underperform, they will not invest, as there is no guarantee the next new store will be a "top performer."

8. "We like businesses where the customer is not the ultimate payor." (Alex Sloane) — Using the collision repair business as an example, the insurance company is the ultimate payor, making the business more recession-resistant. GSP looks for business models based on service and reputation rather than price competition.