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Robotti & CompanyQuarterly31 Mar 2020Source: advisors.robotti.com

Robotti Response to Coronavirus II

Robotti & Company is a New York deep-value boutique founded by Bob Robotti in 1983, specializing in left-for-dead cyclical industries — energy services, building products, shipping — with multi-year holding periods and occasional activist letters. It manages about $650m; Bob is regarded as one of the most steadfast Graham-tradition cyclical value hunters.

Bob Robotti · 1983 · 美国纽约Deep value / cyclical

In plain words

This is a letter from investment firm Robotti to clients during the March 2020 COVID-19 panic. The message: don't panic-sell. Most of their investments aren't in traditional oil and gas, but in financially solid companies like Westlake Chemical (a chemical maker) and Lincoln Electric (a welding equipment firm). These firms have strong balance sheets, plenty of cash, and experienced management—some are even buying back stock or eyeing acquisitions at low prices. For regular investors, the takeaway is that during market fear, good companies can become undervalued. Selling in a panic might mean missing out on long-term gains.

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Robotti & Company, in a report dated March 24, 2020, discussed the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on investment portfolios and corresponding strategies. The core view is that investors should pause, avoid panic, and think calmly. The report emphasizes that over 75% of investments are not in the tra

~4 min full read · 5 sections
Deep Analysis

Theme and Background

This chapter is a letter to investors published by Robotti & Company on March 24, 2020, aimed at updating management feedback and core holdings analysis of portfolio companies amid the severe market volatility caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. The report emphasizes that despite market panic, investors should pause, avoid panic, and think calmly, reiterating that over 75% of investments are not in traditional oil and gas sectors.

Core Thesis

The author's core investment argument is: the current market panic is temporary, and investors should not panic-sell but instead maintain their investments. The report argues that the companies in the portfolio possess core traits such as financial stability, differentiated business models, and experienced management, enabling them to survive the crisis and seize opportunities. The counterintuitive judgment is that, despite an unprecedentedly severe economic environment, these companies were already valued at extremely low levels before the pandemic, and their current prices are far below their value under normal economic conditions, making this a time for contrarian positioning.

Key Arguments and Data

  • Portfolio Structure: Over 75% of investments are not in traditional oil and gas, focusing on companies with "staying power."
  • Management Actions: Over the past two weeks, discussions with portfolio company executives and industry peers revealed five common themes:
  • Strengthening and consolidating balance sheets;
  • Minimizing costs and drawing on revolving credit lines when necessary;
  • Repurchasing shares;
  • Using cash strategically;
  • Preparing for consolidation opportunities.
  • Valuation: These companies were already valued at very low levels before the pandemic, with many having adapted to difficult conditions in their end markets. In the current environment, they trade at a "significant discount" to their value under normal economic conditions.

Core Holdings Comparison Data:

Company Key Financial Data Management Actions Valuation Metrics
Westlake Chemical (NYSE:WLK) Strong balance sheet, ample free cash flow; repaid over $1.5 billion in debt after the 2016 acquisition of Axiall, reducing leverage, extending maturities, and lowering interest expenses Chairman Chao family purchased approximately $6 million in shares on the open market Approximately 1x tangible book value; approximately 3.5x normalized earnings
Lincoln Electric (NASDAQ:LECO) Holds over $200 million in cash; earliest debt maturity is 2025 ($100 million); five factories in China have resumed operations, with an expected loss of only $5 million Continues to seek bolt-on acquisition opportunities; repurchases shares during stock price weakness No specific multiple given, but cash flow abundance is emphasized

Companies/Assets Involved

  • Westlake Chemical (NYSE:WLK): Bullish. The author highlights its strong balance sheet, free cash flow, the Chao family's historical capital allocation ability (e.g., successfully deleveraging after the 2016 acquisition of Axiall), and current management's share purchases at low prices. Valuation is extremely low (1x tangible book value, 3.5x normalized earnings), positioning it for opportunistic acquisitions during the crisis.
  • Lincoln Electric (NASDAQ:LECO): Bullish. The author notes its 125-year history, industry-leading position, ample cash (over $200 million), low debt maturity pressure, manageable losses from Chinese factories ($5 million), and ongoing share repurchases and acquisition searches. Despite demand-side uncertainty, its financial strength and cash flow generation capability provide staying power.

Investment Implications

  • Stay Invested, Avoid Panic Selling: The author explicitly advises investors not to panic-sell in the current environment but to continue holding or even add positions (for those able to do so). The core logic is that the crisis is temporary, and high-quality companies will improve their competitive positions once "the dust settles."
  • Focus on Financial Stability and Management Experience: Investments should concentrate on companies with strong balance sheets, ample cash flow, and management with cyclical experience, as such firms can survive the crisis and leverage consolidation opportunities.
  • Contrarian Positioning Opportunity: Current valuations are extremely low (e.g., WLK at only 3.5x normalized earnings), offering a window for long-term investors to buy high-quality companies at a discount.