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Oakmark FundsQuarterly30 Sep 2021Source: oakmark.com

Bill Nygren Market Commentary | 3Q21

Oakmark is the mutual fund family launched in 1991 by Harris Associates, the Chicago deep-value firm founded in 1976 (about $105bn AUM). Bill Nygren runs the flagship Oakmark Fund and David Herro the Oakmark International Fund, buying businesses at large discounts to intrinsic value and holding them like owners — publishing quarterly fund commentaries, market commentaries and insight articles.

Bill Nygren、David Herro · 1991 · 美国芝加哥Deep value / contrarian long-term

In plain words

This report argues that treating employees, customers, and communities well doesn't have to hurt shareholders. Using examples like Best Buy, General Mills, and Bank of America, it shows that short-term spending—like raising wages or buying NFL tickets for marketing—can boost brand loyalty and talent retention, ultimately increasing long-term profits for shareholders. But there's a catch: if a company goes too far (e.g., raising hourly pay from $20 to $50), costs outweigh benefits, hurting both workers and investors. For everyday investors, the takeaway is to look beyond quarterly earnings and focus on companies that make smart, long-term investments in their stakeholders.

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Oakmark's investment research report discusses the relationship between shareholders and stakeholders, with the core argument being that the two are not opposed but mutually reinforcing. The report cites the philosophy of "The Heart of Business" by former Best Buy CEO Hubert Joly, emphasizing that c

~8 min full read · 10 sections
Deep Analysis

Theme and Background

This chapter explores the relationship between shareholders and stakeholders, responding to the long-standing market view that the two are in opposition. Oakmark argues that this debate stems from a confusion between short-term profits and long-term value maximization, and that the core of corporate governance lies in balancing the two to achieve sustainable profitability.

Core Argument

Oakmark’s central thesis is that the interests of shareholders and stakeholders are not opposed but mutually reinforcing. A company can achieve sustainable profitability—and thereby maximize shareholder value—only by treating employees, customers, suppliers, and communities fairly. This view runs counter to market consensus, as many investors still believe that sacrificing short-term profits to benefit stakeholders harms shareholder returns.

Key Arguments and Data

1. Historical Context: From 1997 to 2019, the Business Roundtable supported Milton Friedman’s view that “the only social responsibility of business is to increase profits.” In August 2019, 181 CEOs updated their statement, committing to create value for all stakeholders—a move seen as a rebuttal to Friedman. Oakmark believes this shift does not negate shareholder value but redefines the path to achieving it.

2. Case Studies:

  • Best Buy’s Transformation: CEO Hubert Joly set a “noble purpose” (to have a positive impact on people’s lives), driving the company to install LED lights to reduce its carbon footprint. This helped the environment while cutting energy costs, creating a “non-zero-sum game.”
  • General Mills’ NFL Ticket Purchase: In the 1970s, the company bought unsold tickets to ensure Minnesota Vikings games were televised. This reduced short-term profits but, over the long term, boosted employee pride, attracted talent, and increased customer loyalty—becoming one of the most effective marketing campaigns. Oakmark cites Friedman’s own words from 40 years ago: “This is a legitimate business expense for the company’s own benefit, with goodwill as a byproduct.”
  • Bank of America’s Wage Hike: In 2023, the company raised its minimum hourly wage from $15 to $20, with a plan to reach $25 by 2025. The bank believes higher pay helps attract and retain top talent, boosting productivity and lowering long-term costs. However, Oakmark notes that if the wage were raised to $50 per hour, costs would outweigh benefits, leading to reduced competitiveness and layoffs—ultimately harming both employees and shareholders.

3. Data Comparison:

Case Short-Term Cost Long-Term Benefit Impact on Shareholders
General Mills buying tickets Reduced current profits Enhanced brand loyalty, employee morale, customer acquisition Long-term shareholder value increased
Bank of America wage hike Increased wage expenses Lower employee turnover, higher productivity Long-term profitability enhanced
Cutting R&D/advertising spend Short-term profit rise Sales decline, business value erosion Long-term shareholder value damaged

4. Research Process: Oakmark incorporates factors such as customer satisfaction, employee turnover, supplier financial health, and community relations into its valuation models, ensuring valuations are based on recurring earnings rather than one-time profits.

Companies/Assets Involved

  • Best Buy: A case study; CEO Hubert Joly’s “noble purpose” philosophy is cited, emphasizing win-win outcomes for stakeholders.
  • General Mills: A historical case; the NFL ticket purchase is used by Oakmark as a model of shareholder-stakeholder alignment.
  • Bank of America: A portfolio holding; the company’s wage increases are seen as a practice of “responsible growth,” with a bullish outlook.
  • Screaming Eagle, Lamborghini, Chanel: Used as examples of premium brands to illustrate how consumer freedom in pricing determines a company’s social value.

Investment Implications

  • Avoid CEOs Focused on Short-Term Profits: Be wary of companies that boost quarterly earnings by cutting R&D, advertising, or other long-term investments. Such actions typically lead to a decline in business value within three to five years.
  • Monitor Stakeholder Metrics: Incorporate non-financial indicators such as employee turnover, customer satisfaction, and supplier health into valuation models to assess earnings sustainability.
  • Seek Companies with a “Noble Purpose”: Prioritize investments in firms that explicitly aim for positive social impact and achieve long-term profitability through fair treatment of stakeholders—such as Bank of America, which has made long-term commitments to employee compensation.
  • Beware of “Stakeholder Overreach”: If a company’s spending on stakeholders exceeds economically reasonable levels (e.g., raising hourly wages from $20 to $50), it can also harm shareholder value and should be avoided.

Theme and Background

This chapter further substantiates the core proposition that "maximizing shareholder value and maximizing stakeholder value are two sides of the same coin." The report cites the world's largest market-cap companies—Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Amazon—as examples, arguing that these companies create the greatest shareholder value precisely because the market expects them to create the greatest value for society. By reviewing Oakmark's historical investment case in Thermo Electron, the author demonstrates that there is no fundamental conflict between the two under a long-term perspective.

Core Argument

The author contends that the so-called "debate" between shareholders and stakeholders is essentially a false dichotomy. When examined over a sufficiently long investment horizon, maximizing social value and maximizing corporate value are different facets of the same process; the starting point of decision-making may differ, but the end result converges. This judgment stands in stark contrast to the market's prevailing perception that the two are a zero-sum game.

Key Arguments and Data

  • Market Facts: The world's largest market-cap companies—Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Amazon—are precisely those that the market expects to create the greatest value for society.
  • Historical Case: As early as the 1990s, Thermo Electron founder George Hatsopoulos pointed out that "shareholders vs. stakeholders" is a tautology under a long-term perspective. The company funded R&D through IPOs of partial stakes—a structure that most investors did not understand, and R&D spending failed to generate returns within most investors' time frames.
  • Long-Term Outcome: After operating independently for 50 years, Thermo Electron merged on equal terms with Fisher Scientific in 2006 to form Thermo Fisher Scientific. As of the report date (September 30, 2021), the company's market cap exceeded $200 billion.

Companies/Assets Involved

Company/Asset Role Key Data View
Apple One of the largest market-cap companies Specific market cap not disclosed Positive case: unity of social value and shareholder value
Microsoft One of the largest market-cap companies Specific market cap not disclosed Positive case
Alphabet One of the largest market-cap companies Oakmark Fund holds 3.7%, Oakmark Select holds 9.6%, Oakmark Global Select holds 12.3% Positive case
Amazon One of the largest market-cap companies Specific market cap not disclosed Positive case
Thermo Fisher Scientific Long-term investment success case Market cap exceeded $200 billion (as of September 30, 2021) Positive case: significant returns from long-term holding
Thermo Electron Historical holding (merged) Held by Oakmark Select in the 1990s Author admits selling too early; long-term holding would have yielded better returns

Investment Insights

1. Extend the Investment Horizon: The report implies that most investors' time frames are too short to capture the long-term returns of stakeholder-oriented expenditures (e.g., R&D). Investors should focus on companies willing to sacrifice short-term profits for long-term value.

2. Identify the "False Debate": The market's binary discussion of "shareholders vs. stakeholders" may create pricing errors. Companies perceived by the market as "overly generous to stakeholders" but whose actions are economically rational over the long term could present value investment opportunities.

3. Focus on Corporate Governance Structures: The Thermo Electron case shows that complex but reasonable corporate structures (e.g., financing through IPO of partial stakes) may be undervalued by the market. Such structures, if serving long-term value creation, warrant in-depth analysis.