← Back to list
Bireme CapitalStock research12 Oct 2022Source: biremecapital.com

Stocktober #3: Ziff Davis

Bireme Capital is a long-short value fund founded in 2016 by Ryan Ballentine (CEO) and Evan Tindell (CIO), based in Tampa, Florida. Its flagship Fundamental Value strategy runs bottom-up, contrarian deep-value investing that exploits behavioral biases and structural mispricings.

Ryan Ballentine、Evan Tindell · 2016 · 美国坦帕Contrarian deep value / long-short

In plain words

This report looks at Ziff Davis, a company that buys struggling websites (like Mashable) at a discount, then cuts costs to make them profitable. The stock is down nearly 50% since 2021 and trades at just 11 times earnings, but the report argues the market is undervaluing its proven acquisition strategy. For example, Ziff bought Mashable for $50 million in 2017, and it now generates an estimated $20-25 million in annual profit. The report compares Ziff to other successful acquirers like Transdigm and Constellation Software, noting its returns are competitive yet its valuation is much lower. Worth reading for a clear, case-study-driven look at a potential bargain.

AI SummaryAI-generated · may contain errors · verify against the original

This report analyzes the investment value of Ziff Davis (ZD), with the core view that its current stock price is undervalued. The report points out that since 2014, ZD has acquired underperforming websites at low prices (such as acquiring Mashable, once valued at $250 million, for $50 million, and a

~5 min full read · 5 sections
Deep Analysis

Theme and Background

This chapter explores the investment value of Ziff Davis (ZD), set against the backdrop of its stock price having fallen nearly 50% since November 2021, with current valuations at historically low levels. ZD is a company that builds its digital media and health information business by acquiring and integrating underperforming website assets.

Core Thesis

The core argument of the report is that ZD's current stock price is significantly undervalued, and its unique "buy cheap, optimize costs" business model is mispriced by the market. A counterintuitive judgment is that, although ZD drives growth by acquiring low-profitability assets and aggressively cutting costs, its return on capital is superior to some well-known acquisition-and-integration companies, yet its valuation is far below theirs.

Key Arguments and Data

1. Valuation Level: ZD currently has a market cap of approximately $3.4 billion, a P/E ratio of about 11x, and an enterprise value/EBITDA multiple of less than 7x, which is considered a fairly conservative valuation.

2. Growth Record: Since 2014, the revenue of its portfolio of website assets has grown sixfold.

3. Acquisition Cases and Integration Results:

  • Mashable: Acquired in 2017 for $50 million, compared to a valuation of $250 million the previous year (i.e., an 80% discount). The acquisition price was roughly 1x revenue. After ZD's integration, the site now generates an estimated annual revenue of $50 million to $75 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin as high as 35%, implying it may produce $20 million to $25 million in EBITDA. Valued at 10x, the initial investment has yielded a return of 4-5x.
  • Everyday Health: Acquired in 2016 for $465 million, when its stock price had already fallen over 40% from its IPO. After the acquisition, ZD applied a "shrink to grow" cost-cutting strategy, which, while reducing revenue to below $200 million in the short term, significantly improved profitability. Currently, its health business segment attracts approximately 100 million unique monthly visitors and contributes roughly $120 million in EBITDA.

4. Historical Acquisition Valuation and Capital Return: ZD claims that its average acquisition valuation is about 5x EBITDA. Based on consolidated financial statements, after deducting approximately $750 million in cash, its roughly $2.75 billion in operating assets (almost entirely from acquisitions) represent about 5.2x this year's expected EBITDA, supporting this claim. Accordingly, its EBITDA return on invested capital (ROIC) is approximately 20%.

5. Peer Comparison: The report compares ZD's business model to Constellation Software (niche SaaS) and Transdigm (aircraft components). Although ZD's EBITDA ROIC (around 20%) is lower than Constellation's (nearly 50%), it is better than Transdigm's (about 15%). Yet, its valuation multiple is only half of Transdigm's.

Comparison Dimension Ziff Davis (ZD) Transdigm (TDG) Constellation Software
Business Model Acquire and integrate underperforming websites Acquire and integrate aircraft components Acquire and integrate niche market SaaS software
EBITDA ROIC Approximately 20% Approximately 15% Nearly 50%
Valuation Multiple (EBITDA) < 7x Approximately twice ZD's Not explicitly stated, but typically high

Companies/Assets Involved

  • Ziff Davis (ZD): The report is bullish. The core subject of analysis, believed to have a successful acquisition and integration strategy and an undervalued stock price. Its assets include IGN, Mashable, Ookla, PCMag, DownDetector, Everyday Health, etc.
  • Mashable: Serves as a ZD acquisition case, demonstrating the ability to acquire at a steep discount and improve profitability through cost control.
  • Everyday Health (EVDY): Serves as a ZD acquisition case, showing the ability to transform a low-margin business into a high-profit contributor through integration and cost optimization.
  • Consensus Cloud Solutions (CCSI): The fax business spun off from the former J2 Global, with a market cap of approximately $950 million, mentioned only as background in this chapter.
  • Transdigm (TDG) and Constellation Software: Used as comparison companies with similar business models to highlight ZD's capital return and valuation differences.

Investment Implications

For investors, ZD represents a potential investment opportunity: a company with a verifiable track record of successful acquisition integration, competitive capital returns, but a current valuation significantly below peer companies. Investors should focus on the valuation discipline of its future acquisition transactions (whether it can still maintain the roughly 5x EBITDA level) and whether the operational efficiency of its existing asset portfolio can be sustained. The report's author has placed it on a watchlist and plans to track it closely.