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Baillie Gifford China Growth TrustArticle7 Oct 2025Source: bailliegifford.com

Baillie Gifford China Growth Trust Interim Financial Report - July 2025

In plain words

This report is a half-year update for a UK investment fund focused on Chinese growth stocks. The fund returned 14.6% over six months, beating its benchmark by 4.3 percentage points. The manager argues that Chinese private companies in electric vehicles, e-commerce, and AI are globally competitive, with faster profit growth than their valuation suggests. For everyday investors, it shows how professional money thinks about China beyond the headlines, why they are willing to own unlisted firms like ByteDance, and what risks remain, such as trade tensions and deflation. It is worth reading because it offers a concrete, measured look at one well-known manager's optimistic but disciplined case for Chinese equities.

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The report outlines BG China Growth Trust's investment strategy and interim results as of July 31, 2025. The trust primarily invests in shares of Chinese companies (including unlisted ones) and employs active management. The portfolio typically holds 40–80 securities, with any single stock capped at

~52 min full read · 50 sections
Deep Analysis

This Month's Scorecard

For the six months to 31 July 2025, the fund's NAV total return was 14.6%, outperforming the benchmark's 10.3% by 4.3 percentage points; over the past year, NAV total return was 40.8%, with excess return of 10.5%.

Basis NAV Total Return Share Price Total Return Benchmark Total Return NAV Excess
Six months to 31 July 2025 14.6% 15.5% 10.3% +4.3%
8 months since CTO announcement (29 November 2024) 18.9% 22.9% 14.2% +4.7%
From authorisation change (16 September 2020) to 31 July 2025 -20.8% -26.8% -11.5% Table difference -9.3%; text states -9.9%
Year to 31 July 2025 40.8% +10.5%

Asset and price indicators: total assets fell from £179.5m to £159.2m, bank borrowings fell from £8.0m to £6.1m, shareholders' funds fell from £171.5m to £153.1m; NAV per share 294.53p → 259.07p (change 13.7%), share price 265.50p → 232.00p (change 14.4%). Active share rose from 65% to 68%. The summary table also lists a benchmark figure of 8.4% (meaning not explained). Period high/low prices: within the six months, NAV per share high 304.07p, low 255.52p; share price high 285.00p, low 223.00p; prior fiscal year NAV per share high 285.19p, low 193.64p; share price high 253.00p, low 176.00p. Discount range for the six months was (6.1%)-(14.8%), versus (6.3%)-(15.7%) in the prior fiscal year. Earnings per share (six months) 2.45p (2.40p for the same period in 2024). Note: total return was positive while NAV per share fell; the report does not explain the discrepancy.

Fund Strategy and Investment Policy

The fund is actively managed, typically holding 40-80 securities with single-name weight limits and moderate leverage permitted; the benchmark is the MSCI China All Shares Index (in GBP terms).

  • Primarily invests in shares/DRs of Chinese companies (companies headquartered in China or that the manager believes derive most of their business from China), whether listed or unlisted.
  • Single security weight not exceeding the lower of 20% of total assets and benchmark weight +7.5%; unlisted securities not exceeding 20% of total assets (measured at time of investment).
  • Aggregate investment in other listed closed-ended funds not exceeding 10% of total assets; if such a fund itself invests no more than 15% of its total assets in other closed-ended funds, the limit is 15%.
  • Borrowing cap is 25% of total assets, with the Board expecting it normally not to exceed 20%; derivatives (FX forwards, options, futures, swaps, etc.) may be used for efficient portfolio management, but general FX and interest rate risk are not hedged.
  • Material changes to investment policy require approval by ordinary resolution of shareholders.

Who Contributed, Who Detracted

Positive contributions were concentrated in Pop Mart, Zhongji Innolight, Tencent, Zijin Mining and unlisted ByteDance; detractors were mainly Meituan, Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls, as well as Xiaomi and China Construction Bank, which are not in the portfolio.

Name Contribution/Detraction One-line Attribution
Pop Mart Contribution Listed as one of the main positive contributors
Zhongji Innolight Contribution Listed as one of the main positive contributors
Tencent Contribution Listed as one of the main positive contributors
Zijin Mining Contribution Listed as one of the main positive contributors
ByteDance Contribution The only unlisted holding; valuation mark-up during the period, significant contributor
Meituan Detraction One of the main detractors; also reduced during the period
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Detraction One of the main detractors
Xiaomi Detraction In the benchmark but not in the portfolio; its rally detracted from relative performance
China Construction Bank Detraction In the benchmark but not in the portfolio; its rally detracted from relative performance

How the Manager Views the Market

Stance [Optimistic]: believes the investment environment for Chinese growth stocks is supported by policy and industry trends, and the manager has outperformed the benchmark since August 2024.

  • The US-China trade agreement framework, Chinese government stimulus for economic stabilisation, and continued support for the private sector constitute a favourable macro environment.
  • Chinese companies are demonstrating leadership in EVs, e-commerce and AI; portfolio holdings such as BYD, ByteDance (TikTok's parent) and PDD (Temu's parent) are cited as examples.
  • Despite geopolitical volatility, conditions for growth investing have been favourable since August 2024; the Chairman believes the strong performance over the past year is progressively recovering the underperformance since the authorisation change.
  • Positioning: net gearing rose from 3% to 4%, still prudent, and made a small positive contribution to NAV.
  • Note: the Board states the company has a "distinctive strategy" and that all elements contributed during the period — a self-defensive statement from the holder's perspective.

How Positions Were Moved

During the period, main purchases were ANTA Sports and Yangtze Power, with a reduction in Meituan; turnover was below 20% and leverage rose modestly.

  • Purchases: ANTA Sports, Yangtze Power (listed as "purchases" in the report).
  • Reduction: Meituan.
  • Portfolio turnover: below 20%, consistent with the long-term average.
  • Net gearing: 3%→4% (31 January 2025 → 31 July 2025), small positive contribution to NAV.
  • Borrowings: bank borrowings fell from £8.0m to £6.1m.
  • Buybacks: repurchased 0.87m shares at an average discount of 10.6%, equivalent to 1.5% of share capital excluding treasury shares as at 31 January 2025, modestly accretive to NAV total return.

Fund Matters

No interim dividend; OCR is 1.12%; the Board addressed the discount via buybacks and a performance-contingent conditional tender offer (CTO) related to 2028.

  • Dividends: only an annual final dividend, declared with the annual report; no interim dividend declared.
  • Fees: Ongoing Charges Ratio of 1.12% for the fiscal year to 31 January 2025.
  • Discount: the summary table shows the discount widened from 9.9% on 31 January to 10.4% on 31 July; the Chairman's statement says "the discount narrowed to 9.9% (from 10.4% on 31 January)" — the two disclosures are inconsistent.
  • Discount management: long-term reliance on performance improvement; short-term via buybacks, the performance-related CTO maturing in 2028, and ongoing marketing.

Additional Analysis in the Follow-up

Building on the existing logic, this follow-up provides more granular operational and policy evidence, further supporting the core thesis of "structural opportunities in Chinese growth stocks." Compared with the first part, the following content focuses on data validation, policy transmission, and flexibility at the corporate governance level — these are key to judging whether the valuation safety margin is effectively being realised.

1. "Firepower Release" at the Governance Level: Cancellation of the Share Premium Account

The Chairman's letter mentions that the June 2025 AGM approved the cancellation of a substantial share premium account, completed in August, with the amount transferred to distributable reserves. This is a positive signal that is easy to overlook:

  • It provides a direct funding pool for future share buybacks or special dividends, rather than relying on external financing.
  • With the Portfolio still valued below global comparable assets, the company holds the tool to "buy itself at a cheap price," creating additional value for shareholders.
  • Combined with current share price volatility (caused by geopolitical shocks in spring 2025), the timing of this decision demonstrates the aggressiveness of counter-cyclical operation.
Governance Action Completion Time Significance to Shareholders
Cancellation of share premium account August 2025 Increases distributable reserves, provides buyback/dividend flexibility
Board shares marketing costs with Baillie Gifford Ongoing Lowers the operating expense ratio while reaching smaller investors

2. Performance and Valuation: "Triple Evidence" of a High-Growth Discount

The follow-up provides a more complete quantitative comparison, turning "valuation safety margin" from a slogan into verifiable metrics:

  • Portfolio earnings growth is nearly 80% faster than the MSCI China All Shares Index (1-year earnings growth basis).
  • Portfolio profitability has improved significantly: EBIT margin rose from 7.7% in July 2022 to 13.3% in July 2025.
  • The valuation premium narrowed from 54% to 23%, while the growth premium widened from 43% to 60%.

This is a classic "earnings improvement + valuation compression + upward growth expectation revision" combination — extremely rare in mature markets, and usually implies that the market has more doubts about the portfolio than the fundamentals justify.

Metric (July 2022 vs July 2025) 2022 2025 Direction
EBIT margin 7.7% 13.3% ↑ Earnings quality improving
Valuation premium (vs benchmark) 54% 23% ↓ Cheaper valuation
Earnings growth premium (vs benchmark) 43% 60% ↑ Stronger growth expectations

3. Export Resilience: Upgrading from "Cheap" to "Brand + IP"

The follow-up uses two concrete cases to break the stereotype of "Chinese exports = low-end OEM":

  • BYD: Q1 exports of 214,000 vehicles, +117% YoY, achieving #1 sales in 7 markets including Brazil, Thailand, Australia and the UK, with a 2025 overseas target of 800,000 vehicles. This is not just auto exports; it is the globalisation of technology + supply chain + distribution.
  • Pop Mart: Overseas sales +480% YoY in Q1, with Labubu triggering queue-buying in the UK and even temporary suspension of in-store sales. This shows the global acceptance of Chinese IP has moved from "trendy novelty" towards "repeat-purchase consumption."

Additionally, breakthroughs in gaming (Black Myth: Wukong, Genshin Impact) and "new-style tea drinks" (Heytea's London flagship store) form a replicable "cultural export matrix." The significance for the portfolio's valuation reset is: the market assigns a "manufacturing cyclical" valuation, while the actual business model already partly possesses the characteristics of a "global consumer brand" — a classic expectation gap.

4. Macro Policy Transmission: From "Stimulus Scale" to "Structural Correction"

The Premier's Government Work Report set a 5% GDP growth target and adopted the most "expansionary" fiscal stance in recent years. First-half actual growth exceeded the target, but the follow-up highlights key structural concerns:

  • Goods consumption is passable (supported by trade-in subsidies), but services consumption (tourism, etc.) has already plateaued.
  • Property remains a drag: national sales volumes are below 2019 levels, and Tier-1 city prices have returned to weakness.
  • Nominal growth is weaker than real growth, reflecting persistent deflationary pressure.

But the policy tone is shifting: the "anti-involution" campaign directly targets price wars in new energy, solar PV, batteries and other industries. If this policy is genuinely implemented, it would significantly benefit leaders with cost advantages and technological moats (such as CATL, BYD). This is a potential positive catalyst for the earnings sustainability of the portfolio's "manufacturing leaders."

5. The "Political Endorsement" of the Private Sector Aligns Strongly with Portfolio Structure

The February 2025 symposium between Xi Jinping and private entrepreneurs (attended by Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, BYD, CATL, among others) is viewed by the follow-up as "the clearest policy support signal." Behind this are several key data points:

  • The private sector contributes over 50% of tax revenue, 60% of GDP, 70% of innovation and 80% of urban employment.
  • Approximately 90% of the portfolio's NAV is invested in private enterprises, while the benchmark index has roughly 50% weight in state-owned enterprises. The contrast means the portfolio has more "offensive" earnings elasticity and policy sensitivity.

More importantly, if the symposium's policy commitments (equal access to factors of production, equal competition, legal protection) are honoured, they would directly improve the risk premium and earnings stability of the portfolio's high-weight holdings. In particular, AI application layers (Tencent advertising, Alibaba e-commerce, ByteDance content recommendation) resonate with the "technological self-reliance" strategy, providing the portfolio with additional option value.

6. Risk Reassessment: "Slow Variables" the Market May Still Be Underestimating

The follow-up does not回避 risks: persistent deflation and property weakness are ongoing pressures on earnings forecasts. But notably, the Portfolio's earnings growth forecast remains nearly double the benchmark, and its current valuation trades at a significant discount to global equities. This implies:

  • Even with the benchmark at three-year highs, the portfolio's valuation premium continues to narrow, suggesting the market has not fully accepted the sustainability of its earnings improvement.
  • The so-called "safety margin" is not static valuation cheapness, but rather the positive scissors gap between earnings growth and valuation (earnings growth running far ahead of valuation expansion).
Risk Factor Buffer/Hedge Provided in the Follow-up
Share price volatility from US-China tensions Global investor diversification + portfolio valuation discount
Deflation squeezing corporate margins "Anti-involution" policy + leaders' cost advantages
Continued property sector decline Structural upgrade in household consumption (DPC Dash, ANTA outdoor)
Weak private enterprise confidence High-level symposium + institutional commitments
Rising benchmark base Faster portfolio earnings growth, narrowing valuation premium, widening growth premium

In summary, the follow-up content is not a simple "growth optimism" narrative, but rather provides a verifiable three-dimensional earnings-valuation-policy framework. The logic for holding Chinese growth stocks is shifting from "low-valuation recovery" to a new phase of "high-growth delivery combined with rising policy friendliness." For long-term investors, the core contradiction in this phase is no longer "whether it is worth investing," but "whether one has enough patience to wait for the market to reprice."

Additional Analysis in the Follow-up: From "AI Narrative" to "Portfolio Action" — Evidence on the Ground

I. AI Industry Data Is Becoming More "Hard": No Longer Just a ChatGPT-Style Gimmick

The most noteworthy increment in the follow-up is not the news effect of DeepSeek, but the fact that AI revenue has begun to materialise in the financial data of leading companies:

  • Alibaba Cloud's YoY growth has recovered to approximately 18%, with AI product revenue achieving triple-digit growth — this shows that Chinese cloud vendors' AI monetisation path is already working, rather than remaining at the "model race" stage.
  • Alibaba reiterates AI penetration in traditional industries such as manufacturing and livestock farming — this breaks the stereotype that "Chinese AI is limited to consumer internet" and provides micro-level evidence for the macro logic of "AI + total factor productivity."
Dimension Data Signal Investment Implication
Cloud infrastructure Alibaba Cloud ~18% YoY, AI products triple-digit growth AI-related capex is translating into cloud vendor revenue
Traditional industry penetration AI adoption in manufacturing, farming Productivity gains will diffuse into non-tech sectors, broadening the earnings recovery base
Generative AI supply ~3,800 registered tools, 250–300 new additions per month The application-layer boom is still early; the pool of investable candidates continues to expand

II. Geopolitics: Three Types of Buffer Behind the "Open Card" of High Tariffs

The market tends to treat the 145% tariff peak as a "panic memory," but the follow-up provides a more granular structural breakdown:

  • The US currently retains a 10% baseline tariff plus a 100% additional tariff on EVs and other industries — below the spring peak, but far from returning to normal.
  • However, the macro impact is limited because weaker Chinese exports to the US are offset by other markets: since 2018, exports to Central Asia have grown by approximately 150% and to Latin America by approximately 92%.
  • More importantly, China is not simply "transshipping around restrictions," but is raising export value-added through industrial chain upgrading and "new market cultivation." From an investment perspective, tariff impact must be assessed company by company, rather than applying a blanket judgment to "Chinese assets."

The "ban-then-release" of Nvidia H20 chips and the repeated extensions of TikTok's "sell-or-ban" deadline show that while US technology restrictions persist, their implementation is frequently interrupted by commercial interests and political variables. Such policy reversals themselves create volatility, but they also weaken the certainty of "technological decoupling."

III. Global Competitiveness of Platform Economy: ByteDance Surpassing Meta Is a Milestone

The follow-up notes that ByteDance's quarterly revenue has surpassed Meta, making it the world's largest social media platform by revenue. This signal deserves separate emphasis:

1. The globalisation capability of Chinese platforms is underestimated. Meta has long been regarded as the ceiling of global social media revenue, yet ByteDance overtook it even with TikTok facing US ban threats, indicating that its algorithm, advertising monetisation and global user ecosystem are structurally competitive.

2. Geopolitical policy and commercial reality are decoupling. The US Supreme Court upheld the ban, but the Trump administration extended the deadline multiple times, and even the White House itself opened an official TikTok account. This pattern of "restrictions in words, honesty in deeds" actually provides a window of opportunity for quality Chinese platforms.

IV. The Real Logic Behind Portfolio Rebalancing: Not "Exiting China" but "Internal Structural Rebalancing"

Baillie Gifford's rebalancing in the follow-up can be summarised in three layers of logic:

1. Trimming high-valuation and deteriorating-competitive-position names: significantly cut Meituan because competitive intensity rose after JD.com and Alibaba joined the subsidy war; also reduced consumption stocks with excessively high valuations such as Pop Mart, as well as PROYA (management changes) and Huayu and Yonyou (earnings misses).

2. Adding low-correlation and cyclical-bottom assets: initiated new positions in Yangtze Power (hydropower, world's largest dam) and Tianqi Lithium (low-cost lithium mining leader). The latter is noteworthy — entering during the lithium price downturn, betting on the "cycle recovery + threefold growth in lithium demand over a decade" double play.

3. Increasing AI and advanced manufacturing exposure while maintaining discipline: added Horizon Robotics on the strength of autonomous driving AI chips, 54% revenue growth, over 40% share of China's autonomous driving market, and a strategic position in the Nvidia supply chain; however, after the share price surged on US export control relaxation, it proactively trimmed. This shows the AI theme is not embraced indiscriminately, but traded on valuation discipline.

In addition, the portfolio's industry exposure is extremely distinctive: private-sector growth engines such as consumer, communication and industrials together account for approximately 90%, while financials, property and utilities account for only about 10% (the index is close to 30%). This is effectively a positioning statement of "long the Chinese economic transformation."

V. The Mismatch Between Turnover and Holding Period: The "Long-Termism" Differentiation Behind the 16.6% Figure

A 16.6% turnover rate is not low in the A-share/H-share context, but Baillie Gifford's 5–10 year holding period contrasts sharply with the Chinese market's average holding period measured in "months." The core point here is:

  • Turnover not only reflects trading frequency, but also error correction within a long-term framework — reducing Meituan and adding Didi are judgments based on "where the company's moat will sit in five years," not quarterly earnings expectations.
  • For the Chinese market, long-term investors can exploit "valuation overshoots caused by excessive short-term speculation" to buy quality growth stocks at lower prices; they must also tolerate volatility from policy disruptions.

VI. Valuation: From "Deep Discount" to "Structurally Attractive"

The follow-up provides two key figures: Chinese equities are near the long-term average of approximately 13x P/E, yet still trade at a discount of approximately 40% to global equities. The significance of this combination:

  • The absolute level is not cheap: 13x means the "cheap" label has partially expired; the low-hanging fruit has been picked.
  • The relative level remains attractive: a 40% discount, combined with new growth drivers in AI, new energy and innovative drugs, suggests the market still has not granted quality Chinese growth stocks their due "quality premium."

To sum up the current stance in one sentence: the macro narrative remains complex, but micro evidence increasingly supports "structural upside." This argues for bottom-up stock selection with a long-term holding mindset, rather than trend trading based on macro sentiment.

The following is additional analysis from part 4/8, focusing on the deep structure of performance attribution, differences in individual stock pricing logic, and valuation mechanisms:


I. Multi-Dimensional Attribution: Sector Effects vs. Stock Selection

Performance during this reporting period displays a clear "stock-picking-driven" character, rather than pure sector beta returns. The 4.3-percentage-point excess return between the 10.3% benchmark return and the 14.6% NAV growth mainly comes from three dimensions:

Attribution Dimension Contribution Direction Key Evidence
Sector allocation (GICS industries) Positive Overweight communication services (+3pct position) and underweight healthcare (-1pct) both outperformed
Stock selection (consumer discretionary) Strongly positive Pop Mart's triple-digit growth; Pop Mart extended its 2024 strength
Stock selection (industrials) Negative Sanhua Intelligent Controls' solid earnings guidance but weak share price dragged on the sector
Leverage (gearing ~4%) Positive Amplified returns in a rising market, with the absolute level remaining restrained

Notably, the positive sector-level contribution did not mask the negative contribution from stock selection — the stock-selection miss in industrials (Sanhua) offset the healthcare underweight, and the final net excess relied mainly on a few heavyweight holdings in consumer and tech.

II. The "Non-Linear Growth" Logic of Core Contributors

Tencent (+13.3% position, largest holding):

  • Revenue growth accelerated from 13% in Q1 to 15% in Q2, breaking the market's linear expectation of slowing growth
  • Key driver: AI's overhaul of ad targeting has already generated quantifiable returns, rather than remaining at the concept stage
  • The resilience of the gaming business (domestic + international) provides a cash-flow cushion that supports AI investment

Zijin Mining (Materials sector, 3-4% position):

  • Profit growth (+54% YoY) significantly exceeded production growth (copper +10%, gold +17%), indicating price elasticity is the primary driver
  • Strategic acquisitions (Akyem gold mine, Raygorodok gold mine) not only add reserves, but more importantly reduce dependence on a single metal price — gold, as a non-correlated asset, provides hedging value amid geopolitical risk
  • Implied view: Zijin is not a simple cyclical stock, but a dual vehicle for the energy transition + safe-haven demand

ByteDance (unlisted, 10.4% position):

  • Basis for the ~30% valuation upgrade: double-digit revenue and cash flow growth + valuation uplift among listed peers
  • After management proactively stripped out the uncertainty of the US business (the TikTok divestment extension), it still considers the valuation attractive — indicating the valuation of the core growth engine (domestic + overseas non-US markets) alone is sufficient to support the current pricing

III. Reflections on "Pricing Failure" Among Detractors

Meituan (trimmed):

  • Concerns over intensifying competition drove the share price lower, but management still confirmed its long-term leadership — a classic valuation dislocation of short-term sentiment vs. long-term fundamentals
  • The trimming (rather than clearing the position) indicates the management team acknowledges competitive pressure may persist, but is unwilling to completely abandon this core asset

Sanhua Intelligent Controls (held):

  • Revenue guidance (+10-30%) and net profit guidance (+25-50%) are very strong, yet the share price is weak — the market is focused on deteriorating pricing power (pass-through from the auto price war) rather than current earnings
  • The humanoid robot optionality remains at a very early stage, insufficient to offset near-term pressure

Not holding Xiaomi and CCB (China Construction Bank):

Company Upside Driver Valuation Level Reason for Missing Out
Xiaomi EV + AIoT ecosystem; Q1 revenue +47%, net profit +64% Static P/E >50x, far above peers Valuation is stretched; difficult to justify further upside
CCB Insurance capital heading south through Stock Connect chasing high dividend yields; southbound inflows Clear dividend yield advantage, but limited growth Does not fit the growth-stock framework

This comparison reveals the strategic discipline of the fund: it neither abandons valuation discipline for short-term momentum (Xiaomi), nor chases non-core competency circles amid style rotation (CCB).

IV. The Transparency Advantage of the Private Valuation Mechanism

This report supplements the detailed valuation process for private companies (page 10), which is key to understanding the credibility of ByteDance's valuation:

  • Three-party checks and balances: fund managers provide inputs, but the valuation committee holds the decision-making authority and is bound by S&P Global's independent advice
  • Trigger-event response: ad hoc adjustments beyond the normal cycle (e.g., the jump in ByteDance's peer valuations) are quickly reflected in NAV
  • Audit review: the investment trust board reviews semi-annually, and external auditors examine annually — multi-layer oversight reduces the room for manipulation

For investors, this means the fairness of ByteDance's valuation in the 10.4% position is institutionally safeguarded.

V. Structural Views in the Outlook

Management remains constructive on the outlook, but the supporting arguments are not one-dimensional:

  • Policy: Beijing's supportive stance (no specific measures mentioned, implying expectation management matters more than stimulus)
  • Innovation: AI's "widescale deployment" has been validated in the results of Tencent and Zhongji Innolight
  • Valuation: Chinese equities remain at a discount relative to global markets, but narrowing the discount will require earnings growth to cooperate

Risk warnings are touched on lightly: weak property markets, uneven domestic demand, and unpredictable geopolitics — indicating that even in optimism, there is a sober awareness of macro uncertainty.


Summary: The period delivered strong performance, but what deserves more attention is the balance of its attribution — comprising both earnings-driven contributions (Zijin) and valuation-repair contributions (ByteDance); both explosions in heavyweight holdings (Tencent, Pop Mart) and resistance to expensive assets (Xiaomi). This multi-dimensional source of alpha is more sustainable than relying solely on the beta of a single style or sector.

Tail Holdings: A Broad-Net Layout Across the New Economy

Apart from the top twenty holdings, the tail of the portfolio contains more than 50 companies, with individual position weights ranging from 0.1% to 3.1%. These companies span multiple tracks, including consumer (Luckin Coffee, Haidilao, DPC Dash), technology hardware (Zhongji Innolight, Sunny Optical, Naura Technology), new energy (Tianqi Lithium, Sungrow Power Supply), pharmaceuticals (BeiGene, Innovent Biologics, Sinocare), and industrial automation (Estun Automation, Shenzhen Inovance). Notably, the tail holdings include a number of high-growth sub-sector leaders, such as Horizon Robotics (autonomous-driving AI chips), Centre Testing International (third-party testing), and Zhongji Innolight (AI chip optical modules). These names lean more toward the "new quality productive forces" direction, consistent with the fund's overall theme of pursuing growth.

From a sub-industry distribution perspective, information technology (semiconductors, software, optics) and consumer (food & beverage, retail, sportswear) occupy notably higher weights, while healthcare also has a place. This diversified allocation, while reducing single-stock risk, also reflects Baillie Gifford's judgment on China's internal structural transformation — the momentum of economic growth is shifting from traditional real estate and infrastructure toward consumption upgrading, technological innovation, and green energy.

Financial Performance: Strong Growth Driven by Capital Gains

The interim income statement shows the fund's net return rose sharply from £12.056 million in the same period last year to £21.842 million, an increase of approximately 81% year-on-year. Of this, capital returns contributed £20,404 thousand, while income (dividends, interest) was only £1,438 thousand, underscoring the fund's characteristic of emphasizing capital appreciation over current income. Earnings per share rose from 19.68 pence to 37.22 pence, mainly benefiting from an increase in the fair value of the investment portfolio.

Metric (£'000) 6 months 2025 6 months 2024 YoY change
Investment gains (realized/unrealized) 20,582 11,117 +85%
Income (dividends, etc.) 2,119 2,138 -0.9%
Net return (after tax) 21,842 12,056 +81%
Earnings per share (pence) 37.22 19.68 +89%

On the fee side, the investment management fee rose from £461 thousand to £561 thousand due to asset growth, but the fee rate remained stable (approximately 0.31%). Other administrative expenses increased by about 13%, likely driven mainly by rising compliance and operating costs. The overall total expense ratio is approximately 0.5%, which is competitive among comparable investment trusts.

Balance Sheet and Capital Operations: Buybacks and Leverage in Parallel

The balance sheet shows total assets rose from £15.8682 million at end-January to £17.9063 million (+12.8%), and net assets rose from £15.3099 million to £17.1491 million (+12.0%). Net asset value per share rose from 259.07 pence to 294.53 pence, an increase of 13.7%. Together with the 2.2 pence per-share dividend paid during the period, total shareholder return was approximately 14.6%.

Key Metric 31 July 2025 31 January 2025 Change
Portfolio value (£'000) 179,063 158,682 +12.8%
Borrowings (£'000) 7,990 5,706* +40%
Net assets (£'000) 171,491 153,099 +12.0%
Net asset value per share (pence) 294.53 259.07 +13.7%

*Based on balance sheet derivation (total assets - net assets - other liabilities).

On capital operations, the fund repurchased ordinary shares worth £2.16 million (approximately 873 thousand shares) during the period, reducing the total share count from 59,095,680 to 58,225,323. The buyback helps to enhance net asset value per share and intrinsic value, while also signaling management's view that the valuation was undervalued. On the other hand, borrowings increased somewhat: the cash flow statement shows actual net borrowings during the period (drawdown 16,392 - repayments 13,940) of £2,452 thousand, and with existing borrowings added, total leverage rose to 4.5% of total assets, a prudent level. The fund manager used leverage to add positions during the pullback, reflecting confidence in the medium-to-long term.

On cash flow, net operating inflow was £942 thousand, and net investing inflow was £268 thousand (because disposals exceeded acquisitions). Notably, one unlisted investment in the portfolio, New Horizon Health, has been suspended from trading, and is listed as "–"; its carrying value may have been written down to zero or may be pending impairment. This reminds us that tail risk for individual names in growth investing still exists, but the overall weight is extremely small (<0.1%) and does not affect the bigger picture.

In sum, the financial data at the end of this period reflect a fund in a state of "high growth, stable leverage, and active buybacks," echoing the beta from the overall recovery of Chinese growth stocks combined with alpha returns from individual companies. Going forward, attention should be paid to the sustainability of capital gains and the progress of disposing of the suspended listed company.

I. The "Scissors Gap" in Performance Structure: "Strong Capital, Weak Income" Coexisting

The most noteworthy financial signal of this period is not the growth in total return, but the significant divergence between the income side and the capital side. Over six months, total net return rose from £12.056M to £21.842M (+81.2%), but this growth was almost entirely driven by capital returns — which surged 92.7% year-on-year to £20.404M. By contrast, income returns slipped slightly from £1.469M to £1.438M (-2.1%).

Metric 31 July 2025 31 July 2024 YoY change
Income return £1.438M £1.469M -2.1%
Capital return £20.404M £10.587M +92.7%
Total net return £21.842M £12.056M +81.2%

This divergence contains several deeper signals:

First, the portfolio's return source is shifting toward capital appreciation rather than dividends. For a Chinese growth trust, this is consistent with its "growth" positioning, but it also means the sustainability of dividends is under marginal pressure. During the period, the prior year's final dividend of 2.20p per share was paid, totaling £1.290M, equal to 89.7% of current income returns — almost all income was distributed. If income returns continue to shrink in the future, and the company wishes to maintain or raise the dividend level, it will have no choice but to draw on capital reserves, which also explains why the company chose to complete the cancellation of the share premium account shortly after the reporting period (see below for details).

Second, the sustainability of high capital-return growth is questionable. The £20.4M capital return corresponds to a period growth in total portfolio assets of £20.4M (£179.1M - £158.7M), meaning the growth in portfolio size came almost entirely from valuation appreciation rather than new inflows. Given that the Chinese stock market experienced a significant valuation-repair rally over the same period, the report does not disclose how much of this gain came from beta versus stock-picking alpha. Nevertheless, investors should use the overall market gain over the period as a reference frame when evaluating.

II. The "Two-Track" Evolution of Portfolio Assets: Listed Expansion, Unlisted Additions, Suspended-Line Wiped to Zero

From the fair value hierarchy table, a clear three-stage structural change can be observed:

Asset Category 31 July 2025 31 January 2025 Change Weight Change
Listed equities (Level 1) £160.412M £144.059M +11.3% 89.6% → 89.6%
Unlisted equities (Level 3) £18.651M £14.429M +29.8% 9.1% → 10.4%
Suspended equities (Level 3) £0.194M -100% 0.1% → 0%
Total £179.063M £158.682M +12.8% 100%

The unlisted segment grew significantly faster than the listed segment (+29.8% vs +11.3%), and is the key driver of the further increase in the weight of unlisted assets. Notably, the growth in unlisted assets could come either from new investments or from upward revaluations of existing positions. These two sources carry very different information value — the former indicates the company intentionally increased its allocation to unlisted assets to capture primary-market opportunities, while the latter is merely a book-value change. In any case, an unlisted weight of 10.4% is already an exposure that a China-themed fund must confront squarely: unlisted assets lack public market pricing, and their liquidity and valuation stability under extreme stress scenarios are weaker than those of listed equities.

The wiping out of the suspended asset is a negative event worth recording. New Horizon Health was written down to zero, and it was precisely the only suspended stock in the company's Level 3 holdings. This illustrates at least two things: first, primary/secondary market investments in China's medical technology sector still carry significant tail risk; second, after identifying the problem, management adopted a conservative approach of a one-time full write-down rather than gradual provisioning. Although this approach hurt current-period results, it avoided a sustained "death by a thousand cuts" to net asset value.

III. The Combined Moves of Capital Management: Tighter Buybacks, Loan Switching, and Reserve Rebuilding

Deliberate Slowing of the Buyback Pace

During the period, 870,357 shares were repurchased, significantly below the 2,756,602 shares in the prior fiscal year (on an annualized comparison, approximately 1.74M vs 2.76M, a year-on-year decline of about 37%). This may reflect management's view that the market discount has narrowed, making the "value creation" efficiency of buybacks lower. However, the company still retains considerable headroom — the remaining buyback authorization of 8,430,352 shares, based on an estimated total share count of approximately 61M shares at period end, represents close to 14%. This gives the company ample policy ammunition to respond to any potential widening of the discount.

Loan Currency Switched from USD to HKD

Date Amount Drawn Original Currency Approx. Equivalent (USD) Facility Utilization
31 January 2025 £6.1M US$7.5M 7.5M 30%
31 July 2025 £8.0M HKD83M ≈10.6M ≈42%

The switch from USD to HKD is interesting. HKD operates under a linked exchange rate system with the USD, so there is no substantial difference in currency risk between the two. However, HKD funds correspond more directly to the company's exposure to Hong Kong-listed assets denominated in HKD, and are also more convenient for settlement and margin arrangements in the Hong Kong market. At the same time, the actual amount drawn rose sharply (up approximately 40% in USD terms), and facility utilization rose from 30% to 42% — a tangible increase in leverage. From an interest-cost perspective, using a current USD/HKD funding rate of roughly 4–5%, the annual interest on the £8.0M loan is approximately £0.4M, equivalent to 27.8% of current income returns. This ratio is not fatal, but it shows that in a high-interest-rate environment, the real cost of leverage is eroding the company's income-side performance.

Share Premium Cancellation: A Key Step in Rebuilding Capital Reserves

The court approved in August 2025 the cancellation of the share premium account and its transfer to the Distributable Capital Reserve. This arrangement takes effect after the interim reporting period and is, in effect, the "final kick" in the entire capital-operations chain. Without this approval, the company's ability to distribute dividends from capital or conduct further buybacks would be restricted. With it, the company can use capital reserves to maintain or increase dividends even if income returns are insufficient. Combined with the aforementioned year-on-year decline in income returns, this reserve rebuilding carries a clear tactical intent — to provide a financial buffer for the dividend policy for at least the next 12 months.

IV. The Scale Elasticity of the Fee Structure: Declining Rates, But Rising Absolute Burden

The company's management fee adopts a three-tier declining structure: 0.75% on the portion up to £50M, 0.65% on the £50M–£250M band, and 0.55% on the portion above £250M. Based on net assets of £179.1M as of 31 July 2025, the annual management fee is approximately:

  • £50M × 0.75% = £0.375M
  • £129.1M × 0.65% = £0.839M
  • Total = £1.214M, effective fee rate approximately 0.678%

Compared with an effective fee rate of approximately 0.682% corresponding to net assets of £158.7M as of 31 January 2025, even though the portfolio grew by 12.8%, the effective fee rate actually declined slightly by 4 basis points. This reflects the "scale dividend" produced by a tiered fee schedule when assets under management expand. But investors should not ignore the other side: the absolute management fee rose from approximately £0.541M to £0.607M on a semi-annual basis, an increase of 12.2%, in line with asset growth. That is, the management fee accounts for more than 40% of income returns (£1.438M) (based on the semi-annual fee estimate). This is a common cost-structure problem for China-focused funds — the scale elasticity of the fee rate cannot offset persistently weak income-side performance.

V. Contingent Asset: Sixteen Years of Tax Governance Resolve

HMRC has agreed to refund overpaid tax of £1.1M and interest for the 2008/2009 accounting year. This disclosure carries a deep historical perspective. Seventeen years have passed from 2008 to the present, and the cross-border tax dispute involving the investment trust was complex and time-consuming. The company has classified it as a "contingent asset" rather than a "receivable", and uses the phrase "probable but not virtually certain", demonstrating its consistent accounting prudence — never recognising income before the money is actually received. Although the amount involved in this eventual resolution of a long-standing legacy matter is not large, it indirectly suggests that the company's relationship with the UK tax authorities has entered a closing phase, and it also provides a referenceable paradigm for handling potential tax matters in the future.

VI. The "New Normal" of Risk Disclosure: The Normalization of Geopolitical and Sanctions Risk

In the responsibility statement section, the board repeatedly discusses "geopolitical developments" and "sanctions" in tandem, a formulation not commonly seen in prior comparable reports. Its specific implication is that some Chinese companies in the portfolio may already be, or could potentially be, affected by international sanctions, export controls, or cross-border investment restrictions. For a single-country fund, this is a deeper systemic risk than market volatility or currency fluctuations — it cannot be avoided through diversification and can only be managed through position adjustments and scenario analysis.

The report also confirms that "principal risks and uncertainties have not changed", which in effect acknowledges the overall continuity of the risk landscape — that is, geopolitical risk is not a temporary disturbance but a structural, long-term background condition. The board specifically mentions the review of "leverage and liquidity stress testing", which is particularly important in China's market with strict capital controls: the apparent liquidity of listed equities (Level 1) could deteriorate significantly under extreme scenarios of high volatility or tightened capital controls. At that point, the true liquidity buffer will depend on the underlying quality of the assets and the HKD-denominated cross-border facility arrangements.

VII. Conclusion: The "Three-Pillar Support" Structure Reflected in the Interim Report

Looking at the interim report as a whole, the company delivered a strong performance on the capital-appreciation side, but showed a more cautious undertone on the income, risk, and governance fronts. There are three key variables to watch over the next six months: first, whether capital returns can continue to be driven by stock-picking ability in the absence of market beta support; second, whether the continued expansion of unlisted assets will compress the overall liquidity quality of the portfolio; third, whether, after the rebuilding of the Distributable Capital Reserve, the company will respond to market concerns about the discount with more active buyback or dividend policies. The three are interrelated and together determine the fund's performance positioning in the next annual report.

Building on the content of this sequel, the following supplements the analysis of Parts VII/VIII from three dimensions: the standardization of the APM disclosure framework, the investment signals implicit in the data, and the layered design of information for different investor groups.


I. The APM Definition Framework: A "Comparability" Design Beyond Compliance

The terminology list in this section is not a mere enumeration of terms; it reflects management's dual consideration of industry comparability and decision usefulness for investors.

Metric Core Definition Design Intent
NAV (borrowings at book value) Net assets after deducting borrowings at book value Reflects the statutory reporting basis, facilitating longitudinal comparison with historical data
Discount/Premium (Share price - NAV)/NAV Industry-standard valuation metric that intuitively reflects market sentiment
Ongoing charges ratio Fees excluding borrowing costs / average NAV Follows AIC guidelines to enable cross-trust horizontal comparison
Active share 100% - overlap ratio with benchmark index Quantifies the intensity of active portfolio management, distinguishing "fake active"
Gearing (gross/net) Borrowings/shareholder funds (gross); borrowings less cash/shareholder funds (net) Reveals the amplification effect of leverage on shareholder equity; gross/net bases distinguish risk exposure
Leverage (gross/commitment) Risk exposure ratio under the EU AIFMD framework Satisfies regulatory requirements; the two algorithms respectively reflect true leverage before and after hedging

It is worth noting that Active share has been included in the APM category, which is uncommon in investment trust reports. It explicitly conveys to investors the trust fund's strategy positioning of "high conviction, concentrated holdings" — a stance highly consistent with the report's "China growth stocks" theme, and also implies the possibility that the manager actively assumes the risk of deviating from the index in exchange for excess returns.


II. Data Signal: The 'Scissors Gap' Divergence Between Discount Narrowing and Total Return

Metric 31 Jan 2025 31 Jul 2025 Change
NAV per share 259.07p 294.53p +13.7%
Share price 232.00p 265.50p +14.4%
Discount rate -10.4% -9.9% Narrowed 0.5pct

Two noteworthy details:

1. The discount narrowed, but the absolute level remains high

The discount narrowed from 10.4% to 9.9%. The move is limited in scale but positive in direction. This change may reflect: ① a marginal improvement in market sentiment toward Chinese assets; ② the trust's own share buyback/issuance expectation management taking effect. However, a discount of nearly 10% remains significantly higher than the UK investment trust industry average (typically 3–5%), implying that secondary-market investors still impose stringent risk premium requirements on Chinese growth stocks.

2. A pronounced divergence between NAV total return (35.4%) and share price total return (29.4%)

In the six months ended 31 January 2025, the NAV outperformed the share price by 6 percentage points. This 'scissors gap' reveals: the growth in net asset value of the fund's underlying assets has not been fully priced in by the market. In other words, the market may be applying an additional valuation penalty to the trust's Chinese holdings (especially VIE-structure companies) for liquidity discounts and regulatory uncertainty, rather than being pessimistic about the fundamentals themselves.

Period NAV total return (annualized) Share price total return (annualized) Difference
Six months ended Jan 2025 35.4% 29.4% 6.0pct
Six months ended Jul 2025 14.6% 15.5% -0.9pct

In the latter period (ended July 2025), the share price total return surpassed the NAV by 0.9 percentage points, indicating that the market has begun to catch up with NAV growth. The narrowing discount corroborates this.


III. VIE Structure and Governance Transparency: A "Risk Warning" Mechanism in Information Layering

This report's dedicated explanation of Variable Interest Entity (VIE) in its glossary is no accident. The VIE structure is the primary path for Chinese internet/technology companies to list overseas, but it is essentially control through contracts rather than equity, carrying the potential risk that its legal validity may be challenged.

The value of this disclosure lies in:

1. The "demystification" of risk education — For non-professional investors, the VIE concept is abstract and obscure; the report uses three sentences to clearly explain its essence of "economic interests and control accrue to foreign investors, but without direct equity," reducing information asymmetry.

2. A clear indication of investment boundaries — The English original "The structures are bound together by contracts" highlights the fragility of contractual arrangements, while "foreign investors are not directly invested in the underlying company" implies that in extreme cases investors may be unable to directly assert claims over assets.

3. Alignment with regulatory developments — Given policy changes such as Sino-U.S. audit oversight and China's Data Security Law, the continued explanation of the VIE structure in periodic reports effectively keeps long-standing structural risks within the market's field of vision, preventing investors from overlooking the potential fragility of the underlying architecture amid short-term share price fluctuations.


4. Audience Stratification of Information: A 'Full-Spectrum Service' from Retail Shareholders to Institutional Compliance

The information in this section exhibits a clear audience-segmentation design:

Information module Target audience Information depth
APM definition and calculation methodology Analysts, institutional investors High (formula-based, clearly defined measurement basis)
Discount/Gearing/Leverage Professional investors Medium-high (combines conceptual explanations with specific figures)
How to invest/Client contact Prospective retail investors Low (operational guidance)
Automatic exchange of information/CREST requirements Non-UK tax resident shareholders Medium (explains compliance procedures)
Risk warnings/Third-party data disclaimers All investors Low (legal-protection provisions)

This layered design enables a single document to simultaneously fulfill four functions: regulatory compliance (AIFMD leverage disclosure), industry self-regulation (AIC fee definitions), retail investor education (VIE explanations), and international tax compliance (CRS information exchange) — demonstrating the information-disclosure professionalism of investment trusts as listed entities.


5. Implications of the Absence of Net Liquid Assets

One detail is worth noting: the glossary defines Net liquid assets (current assets minus current liabilities, excluding borrowings), but no specific figure is provided in the current period's financial summary. This treatment—where the definition exists but the data is absent—may imply:

  • The trust's current cash position is low (due to operating with high positions), and disclosing the figure could raise concerns about insufficient liquidity;
  • Or the line item fluctuated significantly between the two semi-annual reports, and management chose not to emphasize it to avoid distracting from the core NAV information.

Regardless of the reason, this reminds investors that when evaluating the trust, in addition to focusing on NAV and share price, they should also proactively review the current asset items in the complete financial statements to judge its ability to withstand shocks in extreme market environments.


In summary, this glossary and shareholder information section is superficially boilerplate institutional content, but the choice of metric definitions, discount trend data, VIE risk warnings, and information tiering strategy embedded within it together portray a Chinese-themed investment trust's prudent governance posture amid a complex regulatory and market environment. For investors who continuously track this trust, the stability of the APM definition (consistent with the January 2025 report) is in itself a reliability signal.

Continuation Analysis (Part 8/8)

II. Strategic Signals Implied by the Index Benchmark

The presence of the MSCI disclaimer implies an important fact: this fund uses the MSCI index as its performance benchmark or investment reference. This reveals, from one angle, the fund's investment strategy positioning:

  • Active management paired with a passive benchmark: Baillie Gifford has long been known for active stock selection, but an active strategy still needs a globally recognized benchmark to demonstrate its ability to generate alpha to investors.
  • MSCI's benchmark status in Chinese assets: For overseas investors, the MSCI China Index and related index series are the standard reference for measuring Chinese equity market performance. Even if the fund's own holdings deviate substantially from benchmark constituent holdings, using MSCI as a reference framework in external communications still has institutional value in reducing information asymmetry.
  • Compliance costs made explicit: The length and the absolutely defensive wording of the MSCI disclaimer show that the legal terms of the index licensing agreement have deeply permeated the fund's external document formatting conventions — a typical institutional trace under tightening financial regulation.

III. Governance Implications in the Management Structure

The company information page presents key details of the trust's governance structure:

Board composition: five directors (Nicholas Pink as chairman, along with Tim Clissold, Sarah MacAulay, Magdalene Miller, and Jonathan Silver). This size suits an investment trust with a medium asset scale, ensuring decision-making efficiency while providing enough diverse perspectives.

Key business outsourcing matrix:

Function Service Provider Notes
AIFM (Alternative Investment Fund Manager) Baillie Gifford & Co Limited Also serves as company secretary
Depositary/Custodian Bank of New York Mellon (International) Limited Fully independent of the AIFM
Registrar Computershare Investor Services PLC Standard arrangement for a UK-listed company
Independent Auditor Ernst & Young LLP One of the Big Four
Corporate Broker JP Morgan Cazenove Responsible for liquidity management

Governance highlights: The separation of the AIFM and the depositary is a core requirement under the UK Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive (AIFMD), and this trust's structure is fully compliant — Baillie Gifford handles investment management, while asset custody is undertaken by the independent Bank of New York Mellon (BNY Mellon). The auditor is EY, further reinforcing the strength of external oversight. This "management-custody-audit" separation-of-powers configuration is a hallmark of mature governance in the investment trust industry.

IV. The Coordinate Significance of Domicile and Legal Framework

  • The company is registered in Scotland (registration number 91798, registered office in Edinburgh), rather than London — a characteristic shared by many established Scottish investment trusts, reflecting the historical geographic distribution of the UK investment trust industry.
  • The ISIN (GB0003656021), SEDOL (0365602), and LEI (213800KOK5G3XYI7ZX18) identifier codes are listed side by side, serving international settlement, UK domestic trading, and global regulatory reporting needs, respectively.
  • The ticker is BGCG, trading on the London Stock Exchange.

V. Digital Investor Service Design

This page embeds multiple investor contact channels:

  • Website: bailliegiffordchinagrowthtrust.com and bailliegifford.com form a two-tier structure — the former is the fund's dedicated information portal, the latter the manager's group entrance.
  • Client relations team: provides a freephone 0800 hotline, lowering the threshold for individual investors to make inquiries.
  • Email: enquiries@bailliegifford.com serves as the unified communication entry point.
  • Address redundancy design: the parallel London and Edinburgh addresses cater both to institutional investors in the south of England and the operational core at the Scottish headquarters.

The intent of this multi-touchpoint layout is not merely service convenience. At a deeper level, it ensures that in the digital age investors can always obtain supplementary information through traditional channels (telephone, email, physical address), reducing the information access risks that could arise from relying solely on online platforms.

VI. Clues from Historical Depth

The registration number 91798 has relatively few digits, indicating that the company was registered very early. The golden age of Scottish investment trusts can be traced back to the "trust movement" of the late 19th century. Baillie Gifford itself was founded in 1908, and this trust, as one of its products, is not the longest-established among China-themed funds (China only opened its stock market to foreign capital after the 1990s), but by inheriting the legal shell and governance model of traditional UK investment trusts, it carries more than a century of institutional experience in its structure.

VII. Final Observations

The closing page of this financial report, through the combination of "extremely defensive legal text + extremely transparent corporate governance disclosure," presents a delicate balance between compliance pressure and investor relations for a modern UK investment trust. The disclaimer compresses legal risk to its minimum, while the company information pushes operational transparency to its maximum. Together, they form a complete institutional closed loop for this product. For investors, the real message this page conveys is: the fund has fully isolated all operational risks; from here on, the responsibility for investment decisions rests with investors themselves.