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Oakmark FundsQuarterly31 Mar 2014Source: oakmark.com

Bill Nygren Market Commentary | 1Q14

Oakmark is the mutual fund family launched in 1991 by Harris Associates, the Chicago deep-value firm founded in 1976 (about $105bn AUM). Bill Nygren runs the flagship Oakmark Fund and David Herro the Oakmark International Fund, buying businesses at large discounts to intrinsic value and holding them like owners — publishing quarterly fund commentaries, market commentaries and insight articles.

Bill Nygren、David Herro · 1991 · 美国芝加哥Deep value / contrarian long-term

In plain words

This report uses basketball coach Phil Jackson's Zen philosophy to explain that investment success depends on sticking to a good process and teamwork, not short-term wins or losses. For regular investors, this means when choosing a fund, don't just focus on star managers or recent performance. Instead, look at team culture and long-term incentives. For example, at Oakmark fund, new analysts are rewarded for helping colleagues improve, not for personal stock picks. The report also warns that concentrated funds (holding few stocks) are more volatile but may offer higher long-term returns. Worth reading because it uses sports stories to make investing lessons clear and helps you avoid chasing hot stocks.

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Oakmark Investment Research: The Intersection of Sports and Value Investing Drawing on Zen wisdom from Phil Jackson's Eleven Rings, this article highlights the parallels between sports and value investing, emphasizing patience and teamwork. The core thesis is that Oakmark adheres to a long-term inve

~5 min full read · 10 sections
Deep Analysis

Theme and Background

This chapter uses the commonality between sports and value investing as an entry point, quoting Phil Jackson’s Zen saying from Eleven Rings: “Sit still, do nothing, spring comes and grass grows by itself,” emphasizing the core role of patience and teamwork in investing. The report points out the harsh reality of the sports pyramid—less than 6% of high school athletes make it to college teams, and only one in a thousand becomes a professional athlete—which closely mirrors the tension between individualism and team interests in the investment industry.

Core Thesis

The author’s core investment argument is that Oakmark adheres to a long-term investment strategy, seeking growth companies, buying only when their stock prices are significantly below intrinsic value, and patiently waiting for the price gap to narrow. The counterintuitive judgment is that in the investment industry, short-term individual performance should not be the core incentive; teamwork and a culture of “we are great” are more likely to deliver long-term success than individual heroism. The author believes that stars like Michael Jordan passing the ball rather than going solo in critical moments exemplify team success.

Key Arguments and Data

  • Sports Pyramid Data: In the United States, 35 million teenagers participate in sports (about two-thirds of the population under 18), and 7.7 million high school students play on at least one school team. However, less than 6% of high school athletes make it to college teams (including all levels, not just D1), and only one in a thousand college athletes becomes a professional. A Georgia State study shows that 59% of high school football and basketball players believe they can earn a college scholarship, but the reality is: there are 17,856 high school basketball teams, yet only 351 D1 college teams. Even if D1 only selects the top player from each high school team, more than two-thirds of high school stars still fail to secure a scholarship.
  • Team Culture Data: Oakmark’s new analysts’ bonuses are not based on individual recommendation performance but on whether they conduct research in the Oakmark way and whether they improve the performance of colleagues around them. When a stock underperforms, it is viewed as a problem for the entire team, not the responsibility of the recommending analyst.
  • Historical Case: In Game 6 of the 1993 NBA Finals, the Bulls trailed by 2 points. Michael Jordan, facing double or triple teams, passed to Scottie Pippen, who then passed to Horace Grant, and finally John Paxson hit an open three-pointer to win the championship. Jackson called this victory one of the most satisfying of his coaching career because it embodied the shift from “I am great” to “we are great.”

Companies/Assets Involved

  • Oakmark Funds: The report uses Oakmark itself as an example, emphasizing its flat structure and team-first culture. New analysts are encouraged to actively debate before a stock is added to the fund, while senior personnel focus on maintaining a successful culture. No specific holdings or bullish/bearish targets are mentioned.

Investment Implications

For investors, the implication of this chapter is that when selecting fund managers, priority should be given to their team culture and long-term incentive mechanisms, rather than short-term individual star performance. Oakmark’s practice shows that institutions oriented toward teamwork and long-term value are more likely to avoid decision-making errors caused by individualism, thereby generating sustainable returns for investors. Investors should be wary of funds that use short-term stock price performance as the primary metric for analyst bonuses, as such a culture may harm client interests.


Theme and Background

This chapter explores the relationship between "process" and "outcome" in investing, using Phil Jackson's Zen-like coaching style as an analogy for the quiet atmosphere of Oakmark's office. The author emphasizes that the key to investment success lies not in the quality of any single outcome, but in adherence to a rigorous process and continuous improvement.

Core Insights

  • Investment success depends on process, not short-term results: The author argues that a successful investment process will inevitably produce a mix of good and bad short-term outcomes, which are neither worthy of celebration nor punishment. True success comes from strict adherence to and ongoing refinement of the process.
  • Team depth matters more than star managers: The author notes that Oakmark's strength lies in the depth of collaboration across the entire team, rather than in individual well-known fund managers. He suggests visitors learn about team members who "have never appeared in the media" to contrast the depth of other investment teams.

Key Arguments and Data

  • Phil Jackson's coaching philosophy: Jackson remains calm during games, does not rely on timeouts to disrupt opponents' momentum, and maintains the same post-game interview demeanor regardless of wins or losses. He quotes a Zen saying: "We can at best create the optimal conditions for success, then let go of attachment to the outcome. This makes the process more interesting."
  • The quiet atmosphere of Oakmark's office: Visitors are surprised that the office resembles a library rather than the trading floor depicted in movies, with no shouting over bad results or high-fives over good ones. This academic-like focus reflects a belief in the process.
  • Team depth comparison: The author confidently asserts that Oakmark's team depth surpasses that of other investment teams, though no specific quantitative data is provided.

Companies/Assets Involved

  • Oakmark Fund: The portfolio is concentrated in a small number of stocks, making the rise or fall of any single security have a greater impact on the fund's net asset value (concentration risk). This strategy may generate long-term returns but increases volatility.
  • Oakmark Select Fund: A non-diversified fund where individual holdings have a larger impact on total returns, leading to higher return volatility.

Investment Implications

  • Investors should focus on process, not short-term performance: Avoid emotional decision-making based on a single loss or gain. Instead, evaluate whether an investment institution's process is rigorous and whether the team collaborates deeply.
  • Beware of the star fund manager effect: The author implies that overemphasizing media-exposed fund managers may overlook the overall strength of the team. Investors should examine the depth and collaborative ability of the investment team, rather than relying solely on individual "stars."
  • Concentration risk must be acknowledged: Oakmark funds have higher volatility due to concentrated holdings. Investors must accept the short-term uncertainty of this strategy in exchange for potential long-term excess returns.