This quarterly report says the Kopernik fund badly underperformed the market because of extreme investor frenzy (like soaring semiconductor stocks), but the manager sees the sharp drop in hard assets (physical things like gold and oil) as a great opportunity. The fund added to positions like Sibanye Stillwater (a South African platinum miner), K+S AG (a European potash producer), and Paladin Energy (an Australian uranium miner) at lower prices, and started a new stake in DiDi Global (China's ride-hailing app). However, the fund lost money as gold fell 16% and silver fell 21%.
One-sentence summary: The author views the hard asset pullback as a "gift from heaven," maintaining an [optimistic] stance, though the fund underperformed its benchmark by over 21 percentage points this quarter amid extreme market euphoria.
Performance Comparison: In the second quarter of 2026, the Kopernik International Fund Class I posted a net decline of 6.56%, while the MSCI ACWI ex-USA Index rose 14.49%, resulting in an underperformance of approximately 21 percentage points. Year-to-date, the fund returned 0.99% versus the index's 13.68%. The author attributes this to extreme market frenzy—semiconductor stocks surged (the DRAM ETF rose 157% from its April launch to the end of June), momentum factors posted their best performance in decades, and Kopernik has historically lagged in such sentiment-driven markets. The author notes that the ACWI index is increasingly driven by U.S. tech stocks (as of 6/30/2026, the U.S. accounted for 63% of MSCI ACWI, and information technology for 32%), while many areas outside U.S. technology have underperformed.
Performance Comparison: The fund's largest drag was S&P 500 put options, which detracted 1.1%. These options were re-established in April when implied volatility again fell to attractive levels; the fund currently holds options expiring in late July and August. The materials sector as a whole detracted 3.2%. Precious metals companies fell sharply: gold prices dropped 16%, silver 21%, and platinum and palladium fell 21% and 19%, respectively. The energy sector detracted 1.2%. Other drags were spread across multiple industries and regions.
Itemized Breakdown:
Market/Macro View: The author's stance is [Bullish]. In the author's own words: "this painful correction in hard assets may be a godsend to investors needing protection from the consequences of current fundamental imbalances in the system." The author references their recent commentary, Bayou Jubilee, as background.
Performance Comparison: The fund's total return for the quarter was -1.3%, but the author does not directly compare it to the benchmark, instead focusing on positioning actions and individual stock contributions. Positive contributors included: LG Corp (total return 20.9%, contributing 0.5%), CK Hutchison Holdings Ltd (total return 13.7%, contributing 0.2%), BHP Group Ltd (total return 18.5%, contributing 0.2%), and DL E&C Co Ltd (despite a total return of -1.3%, active position sizing contributed 0.1%).
Position Actions (Itemized):
Market/Macro View: The author's stance is [Cautiously Optimistic]. The author notes it is "reassuring to see so many hard asset companies fall back to attractive prices" and believes "value can often rebound strongly from periods of extreme underperformance." Risk Note: Russian securities remain untradeable due to decisions by the U.S. and Russian governments, representing approximately 4.3% of the portfolio this quarter and detracting 0.3% from returns. The author emphasizes mitigating risk through diversification across industries and countries, reiterating their fundamental, long-term disciplined investment process.
| Ticker | Direction | Author's One-Sentence View | Key Data |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sibanye Stillwater Ltd | Add | Added to South African platinum group metals producer at low prices | Total return -29.1%, drag 0.3% |
| Valterra Platinum Ltd | Add/Reduce | Opportunistically reduced and added positions amid price volatility | Total return -18.2%, drag 0.7% |
| Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd | Add/Reduce | Traded around volatility | Total return -24.5%, drag 0.5% |
| Glencore PLC | Reduce | Reduced diversified natural resources company as prices surged | Total return -8.0%, drag 0.2% |
| K+S AG | Add | Added to Europe's largest potash producer | Total return -19.5%, drag 0.6% |
| Nutrien Ltd | Add/Reduce | Traded around volatility in the world's largest integrated potash producer | Total return -15.1%, drag 0.2% |
| Paladin Energy Ltd | Add | Added to Australian uranium producer at low prices | Total return -15.0%, drag 0.2% |
| Petroleo Brasileiro SA (Petrobras) | Add | Added to leading Brazilian oil and gas producer at low prices | Total return -19.8%, drag 0.2% |
| Inpex Corp | Add | Added to Japanese LNG project company at low prices | Total return -29.8%, drag 0.3% |
| Golden Agri-Resources Ltd | Add | Increased stake in Indonesian palm oil producer amid price volatility | Total return -9.6%, drag 0.1% |
| KT Corp | Add | Increased stake in South Korean telecom company amid price volatility | Total return -15.6%, drag 0.3% |
| LG Uplus Corp | Add/Reduce | Opportunistically reduced and added positions amid price volatility | Total return -11.0%, drag 0.3% |
| LG Corp | Add/Reduce | Opportunistically added and reduced positions amid price volatility | Total return 20.9%, contribution 0.5% |
| BHP Group Ltd | Reduce | Executed a reduction | Total return 18.5%, contribution 0.2% |
| DiDi Global Inc. | New Position | Initiated position in company with 70% share of China's ride-hailing market | Specific return not disclosed |
| Ayala Corp | New Position | Initiated position in Philippine conglomerate | Specific return not disclosed |
| EPAM Systems Inc. | New Position | Initiated position in professional software engineering company | Specific return not disclosed |
| Mosaic Co. | New Position | Initiated position in the largest US phosphate fertilizer and global potash producer | Specific return not disclosed |
| Grupo Financiero Inbursa SAB de CV | New Position | Initiated position in Mexican financial holding company | Specific return not disclosed |
| Champion Iron Ltd | New Position | Initiated position in Canadian iron ore producer | Specific return not disclosed |
| Indah Kiat Pulp and Paper Tbk PT | New Position | Initiated position in Indonesian integrated pulp producer | Specific return not disclosed |
| Orbia Advance Corp SAV de CV | New Position | Initiated position in Mexican conglomerate | Specific return not disclosed |
| S&P 500 Index Put Option | Re-established | Re-purchased put options for hedging | Drag 1.1% |
| Japan Petroleum Exploration Co Ltd | Re-established | Bought when price fell to attractive levels | Specific return not disclosed |
| Suzuken Co Ltd | Re-established | Bought Japanese pharmaceutical distributor on price decline | Specific return not disclosed |
| Sinopharm Group Co Ltd | Re-established | Bought Chinese pharmaceutical distributor on price decline | Specific return not disclosed |
| Empresas COPEC SA | Completed Position | Completed position in Chilean diversified natural resources company | Specific return not disclosed |
| Seabridge Gold Inc | Hold & Monitor | Spun off Valor Gold; believes assets have upside | Specific return not disclosed |
| Amundi SA | Liquidated | Sold due to price appreciation | Specific return not disclosed |
| Air Lease Corp | Liquidated | Exited as company was acquired and taken private | Transaction price above valuation |