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Colossus (Invest Like the Best / Business Breakdowns)Podcast29 May 2024Source: joincolossus.comHost: Colossus

InterDigital: Setting Wireless Standards - [Business Breakdowns, EP.166]

In plain words

This is about InterDigital, a company with 30,000 wireless patents that makes money by licensing them to phone makers. The guest thinks the market undervalues it by 50-75%: its core business alone is worth more, and video streaming tech (used by Netflix, Amazon) is almost entirely unpaid—a huge potential. Key holdings: Apple (just renewed a 7-year deal, paying ~60 cents per iPhone); Lenovo (sued and paid a big one-time fee); Oppo, Vivo, Transsion (using the tech without paying; the company is pushing them to pay through lawsuits).

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InterDigital is a wireless communication standard technology company with a portfolio of 30,000 patents, whose foundational patents support communication across 2G to 5G and IoT devices. Guest Jenny Wallace (Co-Founder and CIO of Summit Street Capital Management) points out that the company's busine

~12 min full read · 9 sections
Deep Analysis

InterDigital: Setting Wireless Standards - [Business Breakdowns, EP.166]

At a Glance

Guest Jenny Wallace (Co-founder and CIO of Summit Street Capital Management) provides an in-depth analysis of this wireless communications standard technology company, which holds 30,000 patents and has a market cap of approximately $3 billion. Core thesis: InterDigital's existing business is undervalued by the market by 50%-75%, while the patent licensing opportunity in video streaming represents a nearly unpriced "free call option" — the technology is widely used by Netflix, Amazon, and others, yet almost no one is paying for it.


Theme 1: From "Selling Products" to "Selling Standards" — A Five-Decade Business Model Transformation

Jenny Wallace argues that InterDigital's fundamental shift from a hardware manufacturer to a standard technology licensor in the late 1990s was the pivotal turning point for its value explosion.

Historical Context: The company was founded in 1972 under the name "International Mobile Machines," with founder Sherwin Seligson inspired to develop a portable data device after wanting to access stock quotes on the beach. In 1976, during the U.S. bicentennial, the company demonstrated the world's first wireless phone at Franklin Park in Philadelphia — the same location where Alexander Graham Bell demonstrated the wired telephone 100 years earlier.

Mechanism Breakdown: In the late 1990s, Nokia, which held over 40% market share, proactively approached InterDigital to request assistance in developing the TDD (Time Division Duplex) standard for 3G communications. This marked the company's shift from "developing and selling proprietary products" to "developing and patenting the standard processes for all wireless device communications." Wallace notes: "From that point on, the company was no longer a product manufacturer, but a standard setter."

Data Support: Today, InterDigital has only 400 employees, half of whom are engineers, with nearly all holding advanced degrees; the company holds leadership positions in 100 key standards committees — "This is not only a mark of peer respect, but also allows InterDigital to secure favorable positions for its technologies."


Theme 2: A Moat of 30,000 Patents — R&D Investment Is the Core, Not the Patent Count Itself

Jenny Wallace emphasizes that the "quality" and "sustainability" of a patent portfolio matter more than quantity, and InterDigital's R&D spending (approximately $200 million per year) is key to maintaining this moat

Data Chain: The patent portfolio has grown by 60% over the past six years (from 19,000 to 30,000 patents), with the company receiving new patent approvals almost daily; 90% of patents are developed in-house. However, Wallace cautions: "Maintaining old patents incurs annual costs — 30,000 patents are not free."

Mechanism Breakdown: Unlike pharmaceutical companies, InterDigital does not face a "patent cliff." Wallace explains: "All patents expire after 20 years, but the company is constantly innovating — they are already filing patents for 6G, which will not materialize for another 5 to 10 years. By the time 2G patents expired, no one was selling 2G phones anymore." This "stepped" technology iteration gives the patent portfolio an evergreen quality.

Unique Insight: InterDigital's independence is central to its appeal for engineers. Unlike competitors such as Qualcomm and Broadcom — where patent licensing is just a small part of a vast business — InterDigital's engineers are "rock stars." "CEO Liren Chin moved from Qualcomm to InterDigital precisely to go from being the head of a small division in a large company to leading 'the entire company.'"


Theme 3: Revenue Volatility — An Illusion Created by "Lump-Sum Payments," Not a Deterioration of Business Fundamentals

Jenny Wallace points out that InterDigital's "seemingly volatile" revenue structure masks its highly predictable recurring revenue base, and that lump-sum payments are actually "free options" with 100% gross margins.

Data Chain: Global smartphone sales exceeded 1 billion units in 2023, but only about 50% of smartphone manufacturers pay InterDigital through licensing agreements — the other half (primarily Oppo, Vivo, and Transsion in the Chinese and African markets) are using the technology without paying. In 2022, the company renewed a seven-year agreement with Apple valued at nearly $1 billion, with pricing 15% higher than the previous agreement — equivalent to a cost of approximately $0.60 per iPhone.

Mechanism Breakdown: Approximately 90% of licensing agreements adopt a fixed-price model. Wallace explains: "Device manufacturers prefer fixed prices for certainty; as a small company, InterDigital would need to audit customer sales volumes under a variable pricing model, which increases administrative burdens and could damage partnership relationships." Each new agreement consists of two parts: future periodic payments plus retroactive "catch-up payments" (covering usage fees from the period before the agreement was signed or between the expiration of the old agreement and the signing of the new one), which carry 100% gross margins but are uncertain in timing and amount.

Data Comparison:

Metric Data
Recurring revenue base Approximately $400 million/year
Expected recurring revenue (within 1-2 years) Approximately $650 million/year
Expected GAAP EBIT margin >40%
R&D investment Approximately $200 million/year
Patent maintenance and litigation costs Approximately $80 million/year
Capital expenditure <1% of revenue

Risk Warning: Wallace notes that the 60% operating margin (net margin of 51%) in the first quarter of 2023 "will not repeat," as it included a large lump-sum payment from Lenovo. However, "this is not a signal of business decline, but merely volatility caused by the payment structure."


Theme 4: Video Streaming — The Overlooked "Free Call Option"

Jenny Wallace argues that the video compression/decompression technology market (approximately $500 billion in size) represents nearly entirely untapped "greenfield" territory for InterDigital, with the technology being fully utilized by companies such as Netflix and Amazon but almost no one paying for it.

Mechanism Breakdown: InterDigital is a contributor to video encoding/decoding standards (such as HEVC) and holds related patents. Wallace notes: "This is not waiting for proof of concept — the technology is already used by everyone, it just hasn't been paid for yet." She cites precedents: Nokia has sued Amazon over Prime Video infringement, and Broadcom has sued Netflix and obtained a favorable ruling.

Extrapolation: Wallace believes "it is inevitable that these companies will eventually be compensated." If InterDigital achieves a penetration rate in the video sector similar to that in smartphones, recurring revenue could "nearly double" — but "not tomorrow; these things take time."

Falsification Conditions: Attention should be paid to the progress of peer lawsuits such as those by Nokia and Broadcom, and whether InterDigital begins proactive negotiations or litigation.


Theme 5: Valuation Framework — 50%–75% Undervalued, but Cash Must Be Understood as a Competitive Necessity

Jenny Wallace believes that InterDigital's current market cap of approximately $3 billion should be valued at over $4 billion based on a reasonable multiple of its recurring business alone, with video and one-time payments representing entirely incremental value.

Valuation Comparison:

Metric InterDigital Dolby (Comparable Company)
Average EV/EBITDA Multiple (Past 5 Years) Not disclosed ~14x
Average P/E Multiple (Past 5 Years) Not disclosed ~23x
Wallace's Estimated Fair Market Cap (Recurring Business Only) ~$4 billion
Current Market Cap ~$3 billion

Key Insight: The company holds over $1 billion in cash (against a $3 billion market cap), but Wallace emphasizes, "We view most of this cash as a necessary competitive tool" — for a small company negotiating or litigating against giants like Apple, cash reserves serve as credible deterrence. "If a small company lacks the financial strength to back it up, its threat of litigation against Apple is meaningless."

Capital Allocation: Over the past decade, the company has repurchased approximately 50% of its outstanding shares and paid a dividend yield of about 1.5%. CEO Liren Chin (former head of Qualcomm's licensing business) is described by Wallace as having "enhanced shareholder-friendly capital allocation."

Risk: Wallace identifies the greatest risk as "institutional changes to patent protection and fair compensation on a global scale" — but she notes that InterDigital's fee structure is not "oppressive or usurious," with patent royalties on a $500 smartphone amounting to only about $1.15 per device.


Mentioned Positions

Position Analyst View Key Data
Apple Key client, contract renewed Seven-year agreement valued at nearly $1 billion, price up 15% from the previous contract; approximately $0.60 per iPhone
Samsung Long-term client (since 1995) Specific contract terms not disclosed
Lenovo Litigation target, favorable ruling obtained German court granted an injunction; large one-time payment in 2023
Oppo/Vivo/Transsion Non-paying users, enforcement ongoing Favorable rulings obtained in Germany and India
Nokia Peer/competitor Market cap approximately 6–60 times that of InterDigital; has sued Amazon Prime Video
Qualcomm Peer/competitor Market cap approximately 6–60 times that of InterDigital; CEO Liren Chin previously headed Qualcomm's licensing business
Broadcom Peer Sued Netflix and obtained a favorable ruling
Dolby Comparable company Average EV/EBITDA over the past 5 years approximately 14x, P/E approximately 23x

Judgments Worth Remembering

1. "InterDigital is undervalued by 50%-75%, with video streaming as a free call option" (Jenny Wallace) — The recurring business alone, valued at a reasonable multiple, should be worth over $4 billion. Meanwhile, the company's video technology is fully utilized by Netflix, Amazon, and others, yet almost no one pays for it. Once monetization begins, it could double recurring revenue.

2. "There is no patent cliff — because the company is always innovating" (Jenny Wallace) — Unlike pharmaceutical companies, InterDigital's patent portfolio has a "stepped" evergreen nature: when 2G patents expired, no one was selling 2G phones, and the company is already filing patents for 6G, which will be deployed 5-10 years from now.

3. "50% of smartphone manufacturers use the technology without paying — but this is an opportunity, not a threat" (Jenny Wallace) — Oppo, Vivo, Transsion, and others in the Chinese and African markets are exporting devices globally and will therefore be forced to adopt global business practices; the company has already obtained favorable rulings in Germany and India.

4. "The $1 billion in cash is not redundancy, but a competitive necessity" (Jenny Wallace) — When a small company negotiates or litigates against giants like Apple, cash reserves serve as credible deterrence; "If a small company lacks financial strength to back it up, its threat to sue Apple means nothing."

5. "Revenue volatility is an illusion — one-time payments are free options with 100% gross margin" (Jenny Wallace) — Retroactive "catch-up payments" in each new agreement make revenue and profits appear volatile, but the recurring business maintains a stable margin above 40%; the 60% margin in Q1 2023 "will not repeat, but this is not a sign of business decline."

6. "Independence is a core competency — engineers are rock stars" (Jenny Wallace) — Unlike competitors such as Qualcomm and Broadcom, InterDigital's engineers are "the entire company" rather than "a small department within a large company"; the CEO left Qualcomm precisely to go from "head of a small department" to "the helm of an entire company."

7. "The fixed-price model is superior to variable pricing — despite sacrificing upside during growth periods" (Jenny Wallace) — Fixed pricing avoids the administrative burden of auditing client volumes and potential damage to partnership relationships, allowing the company to plan R&D and litigation budgets with greater certainty; however, the trade-off is the inability to share in growth gains during rapid market expansion.

8. "Look for quality companies suppressed by both scale and complexity" (Jenny Wallace) — InterDigital is simultaneously burdened by "small market cap" and "difficult to analyze," causing it to be overlooked by mainstream indices and sell-side coverage; "If you are willing to spend time on deep analysis, this is precisely where the opportunity lies."