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Colossus (Invest Like the Best / Business Breakdowns)Podcast28 Aug 2024Source: joincolossus.comHost: Colossus

3i Group: Capital in Action - [Business Breakdowns, EP.180]

In plain words

This is about 3i Group, a UK-listed investment company founded before WWII. After the 2008 financial crisis, it stopped managing outside money and only invests its own balance sheet. This lets it hold winners like Action, a Dutch discount retailer, for the long term without being forced to sell. 3i is worth about £30 billion; Action makes up over two-thirds of its portfolio, valued at £14 billion. Two-thirds of Action's items cost under €2, and it's 50% cheaper than rivals, creating a scale advantage. 3i is bullish on Action's European expansion (around 4,700 stores) but cautious about US entry, calling it risky.

AI SummaryAI-generated · may contain errors · verify against the original

3i is a publicly listed investment company whose core asset is the Dutch retailer Action, accounting for over 50% of its net asset value (NAV). This episode features Luke Bridgeman, Partner and Portfolio Manager at Hosking Partners, who traces 3i's evolution from its pre-World War II British origins

~12 min full read · 9 sections
Deep Analysis

3i Group: Capital in Action - Interpretation

At a Glance

Luke Bridgeman (Partner and Portfolio Manager at Hosking Partners) interprets 3i—a publicly listed investment company with pre-WWII British origins, thoroughly reshaped by Simon Burrows after the 2008 financial crisis. 3i’s core value lies in breaking the private equity industry’s "pro-cyclical fundraising-invest-exit" cycle. By abandoning third-party fund management and investing solely from its own balance sheet, it allows winners (Action) to compound continuously, rather than being forced to exit to realize performance fees. Currently, 3i has a market capitalization of approximately £30 billion, with its 55% stake in Action (a Dutch discount retailer) valued at around £14 billion on the books, accounting for over two-thirds of its private equity portfolio.


Theme 1: From "Bank-Mandated Entity" to "Financial Crisis Survivor" — The Unique DNA of 3i

Origins: A Government-Intervened "Gap-Filling" Institution

3i's roots trace back to 1945. At that time, the Macmillan Committee (which included economist John Maynard Keynes), established by the UK government, identified an "equity financing gap" for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) — banks were unwilling to provide long-term equity capital, while capital market thresholds were too high. In response, major UK banks were mandated to jointly establish the Industrial and Commercial Finance Corporation (ICFC) , with initial capital of approximately £15 million. Its business model: through a network of regional offices, it provided long-term capital in the form of preference shares (a hybrid of debt and equity) to SMEs, patiently holding a large number of small positions.

Key Point: This origin as a "bank-mandated" entity gave 3i its own balance sheet from the very beginning — an extremely rare feature in the private equity industry. In 1983, it was renamed Investors in Industry (abbreviated as 3i), and in 1994, it went public with a market capitalization of £1.5 billion. It subsequently expanded into Europe, Asia, and the US, and began managing third-party funds.

The 2008 Crisis: The Cost of Pro-Cyclical Expansion

Before the crisis, 3i used both its own capital and third-party funds for leveraged buyouts, while also carrying corporate-level debt. Luke Bridgeman pointed out its fatal mistake: "It made pro-cyclical investments at the top of the market — buying companies at high prices with excessive debt." The result: portfolio impairments combined with the leverage effect halved net asset value. In 2009, it was forced into a 9-for-7 rights issue (9 new shares for every 7 held, at a steep discount), raising approximately £700 million, severely diluting existing shareholders.

Lesson: The traditional private equity model has an inherent contradiction — the goal of "managing more capital" conflicts with "generating excess returns for shareholders." Pro-cyclical fundraising pressures forced the fund to invest aggressively at market peaks.


Theme 2: Simon Burrows' "Reverse Restructuring" — Abandoning Fundraising, Focusing on Proprietary Capital

Core Decision: No Longer Managing Third-Party Funds

In 2011, long-time investment banker Simon Burrows became CEO and implemented three fundamental changes:

1. Stopped raising funds for third parties, investing only from its own balance sheet

2. Downsized: closed overseas offices, reduced headcount, and focused on a few sectors (consumer, healthcare, industrial technology, software)

3. Reduced deal frequency: targeting 4–7 transactions per year, with approximately £750 million deployed

Mechanism Breakdown: Burrows' logic rests on simple arithmetic — if proprietary capital of £750 million is invested annually with a target of doubling in three years, it generates roughly £250 million in annual profit (33% return). In contrast, managing third-party funds yields only a 20% performance fee, or about £50 million. The profit from proprietary capital investment is five times that of managing others' money. More importantly, abandoning fundraising breaks the "pro-cyclical loop" — there is no longer pressure to "put money to work." In recent years, 3i's actual investment volume has fallen short of its target, a testament to this discipline.

Unexpected Competitive Advantage

By no longer pursuing growth in assets under management, 3i was able to stay in the mid-market (enterprise value of £100–500 million), while most competitors gradually moved up to larger deal sizes to manage bigger funds. This allowed 3i to build a reputation as a "preferred deal source" in this niche — deals come to it, rather than it chasing deals. Luke Bridgeman commented: "It was able to build a reputation as the first point of contact, so deals come to it, rather than it going after deals."


Theme 3: Action — 3i’s "Crown Jewel" and Compounding Engine

Investment Journey and Staggering Returns

In 2011, 3i and its managed funds acquired Action (a Dutch non-food discount retailer founded in 1993) for £106 million. At the time, Action had annual revenue of €700 million; by 2023, that figure had reached approximately €11 billion. 3i currently holds a direct 55% stake, with the remainder held by the original fund investors.

Return Data (provided by Luke Bridgeman):

  • Initial investment: £106 million
  • Cash recovered: £2.9 billion (25x)
  • Remaining equity book value: £14 billion
  • Total return: over 100x the initial investment

The key mechanism behind this astonishing return: Action continuously borrows and pays dividends to shareholders (i.e., 3i), allowing 3i to keep recovering cash without selling equity.

Business Model: The Discount Retail Flywheel of Shared Economies of Scale

Core characteristics of Action:

  • SKU structure: 6,000 SKUs, two-thirds priced under €2
  • Categories: Home decor, DIY, gardening, multimedia, sports, stationery, toys, a small selection of food and beverages, personal care, pet supplies
  • Weekly refresh: 150 new SKUs, with only 33% of the product line fixed
  • Price advantage: Comparable products are roughly 50% cheaper than competitors
  • Store expansion: 330 new stores opened in 2023, currently around 2,600, with European market potential estimated at 4,700 stores
  • Payback period for new stores: Just 8–9 months

Moat: Shared economies of scale — larger scale leads to lower procurement costs, which translate into lower prices, attracting more foot traffic and further expanding scale. Luke Bridgeman likens it to Costco. Additionally, the low price point limits the threat from internet competition (shipping costs are disproportionately high).

Growth Prospects and Risks

  • Certain growth: Same-store sales growth (outpacing GDP growth due to price advantage) + store expansion (roughly one new country per year), with a 12-year compound revenue growth rate of approximately 20%
  • Potential expansion: 3i recently mentioned the U.S. market opportunity — exploiting the price gap between dollar stores and Walmart. However, Luke Bridgeman is cautious: "The U.S. is a graveyard for European retailers." It is currently only in a pilot phase (distribution center plus a few stores)
  • Key risk: A slowdown in Action’s growth would severely impact 3i’s valuation; failure in U.S. expansion is a potential negative catalyst

Theme 4: Valuation Framework – Pricing "Atypical Entities"

Current Valuation Structure

Item Amount
3i Market Cap Approximately £30 billion
Portfolio Book Value Approximately £22 billion
Difference (Market Premium) Approximately £8 billion
Net Debt at Company Level Small (Management Prudence)

Two ways to explain this £8 billion premium:

1. Exit Premium Assumption: Historically, 3i's exit prices have been approximately 1.5x book valuations; applying this assumption could explain the premium.

2. Action Undervaluation: 3i values Action at 18.5x EBITDA (including a 5% liquidity discount), below Costco (33x) but above Home Depot/Walmart (approximately 15x). If the market believes Action deserves a higher multiple, the premium naturally disappears.

Deeper Implications of the Valuation Logic

Luke Bridgeman highlights a key point: Due to Action's rapid growth, even if the 18.5x valuation multiple remains unchanged, the actual multiple implied by its valuation one year later would fall to approximately 14.4x (driven by EBITDA growth). This means the market is effectively pricing in that "Action's growth runway is longer than what the current valuation reflects" — consistent with Hosking Partners' "capital cycle investing" framework: returns, not earnings changes, determine stock price direction, and Action's massive moat allows it to defy mean reversion.

Evidence of Capital Allocation Discipline

Over the past five years, 3i has consistently increased its stake in Action (from approximately 35% to 55%), deploying around £1 billion and achieving approximately 40% returns. Transaction prices align with book valuations, and purchases were primarily from original fund investors (who sought liquidity after holding for 13 years). This demonstrates management's discipline of "continuously betting on known areas of strength."


Theme 5: Risk and Management Assessment

Key Person Risk

Simon Burrows is currently 65 years old, and the CFO is 57. Luke Bridgeman admits that succession is raised at every meeting, but it is difficult to obtain a clear answer. Positive aspect: The culture and discipline built over 12 years have become deeply embedded in the organization and may transcend individuals.

Other Risks

  • Action concentration: Accounts for over two-thirds of the private equity portfolio; any negative change in Action would directly impact 3i.
  • Limited internet threat: Due to very low unit prices (two-thirds are below €2), high shipping costs make e-commerce difficult to compete.
  • Recession defensiveness: Its low-price positioning may benefit from "trading down" during economic downturns.
  • Governance advantage: The board governance provided by 3i may be superior to that of listed retailers (which face short-term shareholder pressure).

Lessons from an Investor’s Perspective

Luke Bridgeman summarizes three transferable lessons:

1. Look for people and companies that "go against the grain" — when everyone else is doing one thing, doing something different and doing it right is extremely powerful.

2. Deeply understand management incentives — spending time to grasp incentives, behavior, structure, and quality yields significant returns.

3. Long-term holding and diversification — Hosking’s average holding period is about 10 years; 3i is among the top three holdings but accounts for less than 2% of the portfolio, allowing it to absorb single-company risk.


Mentioned Positions

Position Analyst View Key Data
Action (Dutch discount retailer) Bullish – core holding, wide moat 3i holds 55%, book value £14bn; revenue grew from €0.7bn (2011) to €11bn (2023); new store payback period 8-9 months; European market potential of 4,700 stores
Royal Sanders (private label personal care manufacturing platform) Neutral watch – potential compounder, but early stage EBITDA over £100mn, sustained 15% returns; 3i explicitly intends long-term holding
Costco Benchmark – reference for economies of scale sharing 33x P/E, higher than Action's 18.5x
Primark (pan-European fashion retailer) Benchmark – similar "growth retailer hidden within a conglomerate" Owned by Associated British Foods

Judgments Worth Remembering

1. "Abandoning fundraising broke the pro-cyclical loop" (Luke Bridgeman) — Without the pressure to "put money to work," 3i can reduce investment at market peaks (actual investment has been below target in recent years). This is discipline, not failure.

2. "Profit from investing proprietary capital is five times that from managing third-party funds" (Luke Bridgeman) — £750 million of proprietary capital annually, with a target to double in three years, generates £250 million in profit; managing the same amount of third-party capital yields only 20% performance fees (£50 million). The arithmetic itself drives the model shift.

3. "Action's competitors charge 50% more for similar products — that is its biggest moat" (Luke Bridgeman) — Price advantage creates a shared flywheel of economies of scale, which widens continuously as scale grows. Comparable to Costco.

4. "Even if the 18.5x valuation multiple remains unchanged, Action's effective valuation multiple will drop to 14.4x in one year" (Luke Bridgeman) — Growth itself absorbs valuation; what the market truly prices is the length of the growth runway, not the current multiple.

5. "The US is the graveyard of European retailers" (Luke Bridgeman) — Cautious about 3i's mentioned US expansion, arguing the focus should be on the certainty of 4,700 stores in Europe rather than a transatlantic adventure.

6. "3i's governance may be stronger than that of listed retailers" (Luke Bridgeman) — Without short-term shareholder pressure, the board can focus on long-term value creation — a hidden advantage of the "unlisted" structure.

7. "Seek those who go against the grain — when everyone does the same thing, doing something different and doing it right is incredibly powerful" (Luke Bridgeman) — The core investment philosophy distilled from the 3i case, applicable to identifying other non-consensus opportunities.

8. "Two-thirds of Action's SKUs have a unit price below €2, making internet competition economically unviable" (Luke Bridgeman) — Shipping costs are too high for e-commerce to compete effectively in this price band, creating a structural defense.